Analysis & Selections By: Dean Keppler @Keppskorner
BEST BET: 1-Sword Zorro (Race #1)
Race #1: 1-Sword Zorro adds Lasix and has run well fresh in the past for trainer John Sadler. The 4-year-old gelding draws well and likes this turf course. 6-There Goes Harvard comes off a sharp win over the main track but has run equally well over the grass. The gelding projects to sit another favorable stalking trip. 4-Tidal Forces has been freshened and makes first start for top turf barn. The colt has trained well locally for Southern California unveiling.
Race #2: 2-Royal Halo debuts off a snappy worktab including a 3-furlong blowout gate drill May 11. This barn has had modest success with first time starters. 7-Hot Memories is nicely drawn outside for trainer Steve Miyadi and sire broke Maiden at first asking with a (104) Beyer speed figure. 3-Good N Thirsty is one of two juveniles debuting for the Solis barn.
Race #3: 1-Stressed has speed; the rail and makes 2nd start off the layoff for trainer Doug O’Neil. This filly is likely to move forward off tiring 5th place finish April 2. 4-Aventapp makes first start against winners off April 1 score. This filly may be up to the challenge, however, fitting snuggly with this group as far as recent turf Beyer numbers. 7-Founder’s Day rarely runs two strong races consecutively but is a logical fit in here as a contender off past form at this level.
Race #4: 2-Smokin Ameila has a race under her belt which makes her the one to beat in here facing males. She finished 2nd to next-out stake’s winner Tom’s Regret. 4-Fordy G is by American Freedom who broke his maiden in debut with a (98) Beyer and this colt has trained well for unveiling for trainer Ryan Hanson. This jockey/trainer combo have had decent success with debut runners. 5-Thirsty John is by multiple G1 winner Stay Thirsty and attracts top rider for initial outing.
Race #5: Recent G3 Santa Ana stakes winner 1-Queen Goddess looms a likely repeat winner at short odds. She moves inside; owns the field’s best last out Turf Beyer (92) and projects to get a favorable trip on or close to the early lead. 4-Neige Blanche is the main threat to the top choice finishing 2nd to the filly in most recent start and winning last year’s edition. This talented mare is a two-time winner at today’s distance and multiple graded stakes winner for trainer Leonard Powell. 6-Carpe Vinum is yet to prove herself at the graded-stakes level but makes her 3rd start off the bench today and has an improving Beyer pattern.
Race #6: 4-Miss Mensa can be excused for subpar 6th place finish on April 1 debut try when away slowly and racing greenly. She goes turf to dirt today; has more of a main track pedigree; and barn is a sharp 3 for 10 (30%) with a $4.22 ROI with 2nd time starters making the surface switch at Santa Anita. 3-Darling Donna has shown very little in last pair of turf starts and main track slop effort but makes 2nd consecutive start for a tag and moves back to the main track off the mini-freshening for trainer Vladimir Cerin. Her last two main track 4-furlong drills indicate there might be more than meets the eye as far as raw ability. 2-Your Ringer has not been seen since being claimed from Del Mar debut last summer for $50k when just missing by a nose. She’s trained well for return for Sadler and adds Lasix today for career start number two. The obvious knock is the layoff and the fact that she’s offered for $10k less than acquired purchase price.
Race #7: 7-Suite Madam Blue seeks back-to-back wins for Hess and co-tops the field’s best last-out turf Beyer (78). This 4-year-old filly must negotiate an additional half furlong today, but she should be on the lead in here and is the likely gate to wire winner. Recent claim 3-Flying to the Line ships in from Turf Paradise in sharp form and has won at this oval before albeit all the way back in January of 2020. Her recent turf Beyer numbers match up well here. 5-Harper’s Gallop has not been out in 6 months but runs extremely well off the layoff and her turf tries have been more than competitive for this top barn.
Race #8: A short but extremely evenly matched Maiden Special Weight field. 5-Troubadour goes 2nd time blinkers on the stretch-out for Mandella and is bred to handle a distance of ground This lucrative jockey/trainer combo are 17 for 42 (40%) with $4.22 ROI the past 3 years. 6-Go Joe Won improved significantly when stretching out in career start number two earning the field’s best last-out Beyer figure (80) with a sharp runner-up effort. 2-One More Bid both starts have been competitive earning back-to-back (77) Beyer speed figures. Four solid works since last 2nd place finish should have this 3-year-old gelding super fit and ready for another strong effort.
Race #9: The speedy 4-With This Vow moves up in class off strong win for barn that’s having a stellar meet (12-5-2-3). She’ll attempt another gate-to-wire win. 5-Agreetodisagree has been a beaten favorite in three consecutive races at this level but in her defense, she’s had some legitimate trouble lines. Back-to-back bullet drills indicates she remains sharp. 9-Rose’s Crystal is another coming out of that same March 19 race and puts blinkers back on this afternoon for trainer Carla Gaines.