PTF posting for @blinkersoff420
SA Race 7
February 14, 2021
The Sweet Life stakes turns 11 years old on Sunday going 6 furlongs on the turf for Fillies & Mares 3 years of age. A field of 12 are signed up prior to any scratches and it is wide open. A few horses are listed below based on what the pace looks like in my opinion. Best of luck if you are playing today!
Pace: On most DRF past performances you can locate the TimeFormUS Pace numbers. A number will be listed for Early and Late pace, which can lead to easily getting a feel for how the flow of the race might play out. Based off of those numbers it looks to me there are a few horses which may gun it for the lead, if they get caught up in contention it can set a hot quarter and ½, possibly leading to a off pace or closing type. If one of the speed types can clear it might be over though, it will come down to how you perceive and see the race playing out in your head as a bettor. You can look at charts as well to see how these type of race have been playing out in the past, make sure to note surface condition.
Early Pace:
#2 – Freedom Flyer (15-1) TFE: 107
There is reality and there is I want to cash on a 15-1. The early pace # of 107, along with the second winningest post at the surface and distance are things to like a lot. Last out winner though is facing other winners for the first time. Speed # a little short and do one of the newbies in spots 3 and 4 come out to contend? Back to that 15-1, dependent on what you think in relation to what the tote shows might lead to a final decision.
#5 – Squared Shady (12-1) TFE:100
The turf looks to be the preference of the Jeff Bonde trained horse, with Edwin Maldonado back aboard this is another looking to win against winners first time out. I would suggest going back to watch the last race and determine if she had an easy lead, which I do not see happening in this race.
#7 – Five Pics Please (6-1) TFE:108
She has previously defeated a few others in the race and the OC 100k affair last out has produced two winners thus far. #7 post is a benefit, cracking at 20% for S&D and tops for all post. She set nice fractions last out to win.
#10 – Magical Thought (20-1) TFE: 101
Doug O’Neill tossing her right into a tough race based on what she has done so far on paper. Outside post does not help with the other speed drawn inward. Tactically Fuentes might have it tough to work out a trip though with a new trainer maybe a new approach will be taken.
Late Pace:
#8 – Pizzazz (8-1) TFL: 96
Richard Mandella shows a poor stat going from route to sprint. Toss it though and look at her first race, 5F on the turf with fractions .23 and .46 which should be easily set-in today’s 6F sprint. The added furlong will help the case and even though recent works might be a little limited the 47.4 is nice to see.
#9 Majestic Steps (Ire) (7-2) TFL: 89
Majestic Steps is my selection and the gallop out last race made it for me. Not often I see a horse win the race, then look like the jockey is holding her up from running around the loop again. Also, the track variant numbers speak volumes, pace set up should be there and Umberto has my trust which means nothing to him but a lot to me.
#11 Plum Sexy (10-1) TFL: 86
A second Doug O’Neill entry which might benefit from the other entry. Ran off pace last time but prior took lead and won at a mile. If I had to guess or could play the hand I my move would be to sit off and hope a quick first quarter and half.
9 – 7 – 2
Make sure to check out each entry in the race and to follow me @blinkersoff420, plus @inthemoneymedia for all of your horse racing content.
