All statistics unless stated other wise are situation specific. Example 1st Time Starter /MSW / Turf / Route = %
Any mention of Figures refers to my personal figures unless stated otherwise.
SUNDAY – Good chance of rain .. Just a heads up
Unfortunately did not enough scratch help to play this early Pick 5 with confidence as you can tell by my notes. When I get to eliminating horses to make a ticket playable there is 99% chance I do not play a ticket but I do keep up with the cave man ticket in a mythical nature. Overtime it would have not panned out for me.
All A ticket for .50 cost $90
Using the ALL Button in Race 4 doubles that to $180
Early Pick 5 today has some difficult races which is the trend for the entire day.
R1 – 2 5 10 Wish could trust Lauriston but I cannot. But is an option if you think Irad is the answer
R2 – 6
R3 – 1 2 5 7 (Could reduce this to using the 1 and 2 only)
R4 – 2 4 5 8 10 (Ideally I would want ALL!)
R5 – 1 9 10
My Best Bet of the day is over on the Bettin and Boozin Pod at the HHH Racing Podcast.
Race 1 does not have anyone who caught my eye on race day or in the mornings. Looks like a bad group. This is a difficult sequence in my opinion, so could narrow here and come back with a Pick 4 if needed or Cave man it which is not really my style. The 1 is the only horse in this race that I just do not think has a chance.
A LINE 2 5 10
2 British Empress is 0 12 and has made her last 2 starts for a slightly lower price but I do like her turf route efforts. Draws an inside post with tactical speed so Jonny V should be able to get position, she would not surprise me here at a price. I do not love this filly by no means today but if price is right I will make a small win bet on her as I do not like this group.
5 Lauriston has burned a ton of money in 6 starts. After a promising debut at Keeneland where she broke slowly she continued that trend starting poorly every race. Blinkers were added for a couple starts but taken back off turn making her second start for her new trainer. Drops in for tag for the first time getting Irad in the irons maybe she has found the right group today but no way I could invest in her.
10 Summer in Toga should have been winter in GP… Weaver owns a part of this filly and places horses very well although he is only 1 for 13 when debuting turf routing for a tag. The positives she gets Tyler up, an outside post and facing a bad group.
B LINE
3 Await for Pletcher who is 16% 3rdSt/Turf/Rte/MDCL. I like nothing about either start prior and Irad chose another.
6 Kake’s Tap Dancer is now 0 for 14 with no real excuses but 1 paced type who could just be the best of a mediocre field.
C LINE – EVERY ONE ELSE BUT THE 1
RACE 2 I am all chalk.. I doubt the price is worth betting here. Even money = WIN WAGER
LONE A 6 Speight’spercomete is 3 for 10 over the tapeta. D’Angelo claimed this horse last December but lost him next out after winning. Claimed this one back ran him back for a win versus a very soft group of 10K claimers that looked like a workout. Last time was a huge effort missing Swan Lake at the line and holding second over a horse I have interest in later today Valentine Bug( Race 10) For that you would have to flip over to our friends at the HHH Racing Podcast Betting and Boozing show from this past Wednesday covering the late pick 5.
I will be singling here but others if do not trust the favorite.
1 Royal Act is first time tapeta.
4 Artemus Bridge has races in the spring that are just as good as the favorite but has completely fell apart as of late.
5 Science will be routing on the tapeta for the first time.
Race 3 Maiden Optional for 2 years old’s so I automatically give preference to runners not in for a tag.
A LINE 1 2 5 7
1 Fontana Di Trevi has no superstar ability that I have seen but does not need to be in this group. Cuts back to 3/4’s after a nice race last time for this level trying the entire stretch just simply no match for the winner.
2 Classy Chatterbox is one I could make a case to single but also can tell you a few reasons to be against. Prior Debut worked very well with stakes winner Charlie’s Wish and was bet well on debut. Has continued to work well to my knowledge since the debut that I will get to in a moment. Negatives… For a filly that was backside buzz on debut now she is running in a MOC for 25K less purse money than a MSW? On debut she had an outside post and was under a drive from the start to keep pace emptying out late turn and fading.
NOW I will try not to get on soapbox here PACO PACO PACO , I have ridden performance horses since I was a kid and yes I have lost my temper and done things I should not have as a teenager on a horse out of anger. I was taught otherwise, punished, etc. SO I AM NOT JUDGING PACO here although I do not approve obviously. Watch Classy Chatterbox’s debut race!! The industry failed here with Paco I have seen this numerous times as have others but it was not a big deal until it happened on a winner with the camera focused on Paco. We as an industry have to do better!
I really was staying away from the whole Paco conversations but this just got my temp up a bit when watched it.
5 Motown Omi has worked well in the morning showing good speed and finishing well. I have seen many of these Mo Towns that can run, I do not like that he is for the tag but will have some coverage.
7 City Trash has shown good speed in the morning although under hard drives to finish but nothing I seen was negative to rule this one out.
Race 4 Maiden 12.5 routing on the tapeta!! I love these races until I get to one like this what a puzzle. Will be short here as nothing clever
A LINE – ALL ? difficult to do in this sequence so will split some hairs. NO TOP PICK
2 Giovannino makes the A list because of Irad, I do not like the form or the figs I have in his Turfway efforts.
4 Iron Man Jimmy is one I love the effort in the lane this gelding shows but needs to get a touch faster and was a recent vet scratch.
5 Kuwait Towers – WHERE DID THE LAST RACE COME FROM?? May have even one last time but I do not think jockey seen the winner coming inside until it was too late.
8 Remerton is deserving of favoritism but is quirky. Almost a lock to hit the board but waits on horses nearly every race.
10 Mohay Please gets back to the tapeta with Laxix and Blinkers this time. Lightly raced and moves to D’Angelo.
At this point using that many not sure how you could leave off anyone. The ones I did not mention either have speed or races buried in there form that make them capable. Maybe play Remerton and hope for the best but I would rather sit out than put everything on him to win here.
Race 5 does not get much easier but can thin it down with a bit more confidence that Race 4.
A LINE
1 Patronage drops in for tag for the first time for Pletcher and Irad is on this one! Beaten as favorite last time but was expected to be at least by myself Charles J was a big play for me that day now faces easier today. Was slightly 2nd best recently to Await who runs in Race 1.
9 Oscarworthy showed some talent last winter in the morning just never got in the winners circle. Has ran solid in 4 turf route tries and now drops for tag. You will not find any excuse in the previous efforts but has ran well enough to take a shot if the price is right.
10 Take Your Seat will be a RARE Chad Brown A for me at Gulfstream and is my top pick!! Took a step forward last time with the addition of blinkers but was going 9 furlongs which is a touch too far?
B LINE
3 Got Sunny makes his 3rd start while dropping for a tag but has not been seen since March. Was working very well on the grass here a year ago and both efforts were respectable.
7 Cognoscenti for a small barn that is capable of getting horses read. The 2 turf works I watched of this gelding were enough to for me to consider him.
8 Four Top for Maker ran a very nice race back in January here at Gulfstream when in Chads barn. Maker claimed for 75K took a couple shots and now dropping back down which does not scream confidence.
Race 6 I have nothing to give you that is not seen on paper.
LONE A 4 Julee’s Legacy is simply faster than this field. Has a couple big works since her last and gets Irad in the saddle. Unless someone finds enough early to to run this filly off her feet she will be tough.
Ice Cold Exacta is an obvious one 6 Star of Saturn looks to be the clear second choice but will need to find more to win, which first off the claim for Delgado makes it possible but I will settle on the favorite.
