After a slow start on Thanksgiving day, I did get something going Friday to up the ole ROI a bit
Be sure to check out John Pinder’s opinions on the late Pick 5!
Race 1
A Line 1 4 10
1 Great Shashi added blinkers last time when trying a route of ground and ran an average race that is not good enough to win here but when Robert Dibona is excellent off the claim especially with turf routers.
4 Zo Zucchera’s debut race last August lays over this field but was most definitely and odd trip taking some bumps out of the gate cruised around showing some interest while Jaramillo did not ride her in the lane?? Next out she basically stopped..
10 Not One Less has ran 2 honest efforts routing over the tapeta while having some trouble last time and still finishing ok. Neither effort was overly exciting.
B’s
3 Senorita Nomas did zero running on debut. But the work I watched on Sept 14th was enough to make me want a bit of coverage.
7 Shines Madelin stretch out for the first time after running same pace last time sprinting. If she can grind along 1 Paced and see out the distance could be good enough in this group.
8 Spelled first out for Abreu is a borderline toss the works I watched were less than average, but again a bad group.
Race 2
A – 8 Silver Moonlight I will make a lone A off that last effort in Oct. Made the lead without much effort then responded well when asked very late making me think Edgar had more horse if needed.
Although a Lone A for me not as confident as the 2 Lone A’s I had yesterday.
I will have tickets singling 8 Silver Moonlight, but there are a couple in here that have figures by my numbers that fit with the favorite.
B’s
3 La Scaloneta’s maiden breaker at Indy was a big improvement versus weaker company.
4 My Happy Holiday 3 races here in April and May fit. She does not favor the tapeta so those last 3 off the turf races are tosses…
5 Cha Cha Chukka’s Ellis Race in July gives reason to include if you doubt the favorite.
Wager – Playing an Ice Cold Pick 3 Starting Here with my Lone A’s
Race 3
A – 4 Bal De Mar has showed lots of talent this year primarily working on the tapeta, enough connections shipped to Del Mar for her debut. Although she disappointed last time I cannot dismiss her today adding blinkers and 1st time Lasix. I will make my top selection after scratching out of the Turf Race yesterday opting for what I believe is her preferred surface.
B – 7 Entrepreneurship makes her debut for Casse after along string of works starting last spring. She entered once in August at Saratoga on the grass but scratched when washed off the turf and just not shows back up today so obviously things have not went as planned.
Other Note
3 Majesty’s Song is another first timer for Casse who looks good in the morning but seems to need motivated early in her works. I noted her for 2 turns and her workmate Corruption runs in the 5th today.
Race 4
A – 1 Bubbly Champagne has dropped a long way since Pre-Entering the 2023 Juvenile Turf Sprint. She shows up and runs every time but is camera shy. Makes her second start off the claim and if she runs back to her best figures lays over this group with the exception of couple horses but she is hard to trust for the win.
B’s
3 Calming Sea went off favored last time completely disappointing. Her tapeta races Jan. and Feb. earlier this year do fit right with the favorite.
7 A Palace for Mom comes off the bench after obviously having something go a miss last time but her races before that are not far off the 2 above.
Wager – Will play some weighted Exacta’s with the 1 over 3 7
Race 5 – This MSW is loaded with angles and has some opportunity for those who can form a strong opinion. Determining pace here could be key which is an extremely difficult task as well….
A’s Using on all tickets… 1 3 5 10 13 15
1 Enlighten comes back after 11 months but has been on the work tab since Sept. Nov 23 ran a gritty race when edged out by Cugino and then a close 3rd behind Hammerstein and Dashman who both went on to be stakes placed. Will make my top pick here but a difficult race I just hope to survive….
3 Bell Mountain has ran solid every tip to the starting gate. Aug 10th he did everything right but win when caught at the wire finishing well and the come back race last time on the tapeta ensure the fitness level.
5 Proton Spirit (15-1 and likely will get every bit of that ML) This one caught my eye at Saratoga back in August working on the grass and now will make his first start turf routing for his current barn. This past summer when Bridgmohan mounted up for Giddings in the afternoon it was bombs away!! No way I am leaving this one off my tickets.
10 Mythic Performance is another coming off a big break and may need a race. Was working very well here last winter and has continued that trend with some solo turf works recently at Palm Meadows. Has done nothing wrong in 3 starts.
13 Perretti will draw in the field here with Sticky McShnikens running yesterday at Tampa. Ran behind Ciao Chuck but was 1st start for new connections and coming off a big break traveling wide the entire way and finishing well.
15 Must’ed After watching 2 solid works over the grass w Palm Tree( Stakes placed) cruising around easily in nice fashion becomes a must use for me although not crazy about the wide post.
B’s
7 Ciao Chuck I will use as an B but really wanted to toss… Has been forwardly placed in New York where turf racing has became break and grab leading to easy trip on or near the lead. WERE NOT IN NEW YORK ! but if anyone can get one out and motivated early its Reylu.
8 Paris Surprise is another that was borderline toss for me as I have not been impress by this one at any point. Reason to use? Maybe he not enjoy a chewed up turf at Keeneland last time and then there is KY Downs which I can forgive as well.
If spreading others to use would be the 2 4 and 9 but I would like to see a race at the current meet before I invest. If I could only use 1 of the 3 it would be the 9 Corruption (Workmate runs in Race 3 #3 Majesty’s Song)
Race 6
A – 1 Stunner of course! Nothing hidden here if you just had to have some action on this race
Trifecta – 1 over 6,7 over 2,3,6,7 but I do not think the value is worth the risk but I will be watching the Exacta’s pools for any value.
