Los Alamitos Race Course (Friday-7/1/22)

Analysis & Selections By: Dean Keppler @Keppskorner

BEST BET: 3-Dr. Troutman (Race #2)

Race #1: 7-Storminside is wheeled back on only 5 days rest after another troubled start June 26. This makes it back-to-back efforts where the veteran gelding didn’t produce his typical early zip putting him at a clear disadvantage early on. The 8-year-old makes his 2nd start off the claim today for trainer Steve Knapp who is a sharp 5 for 14 (38%) with a $4.17 ROI with this claiming angle at Los Al. He gets the nod to make amends today with outside draw and alert break. 3-Nolongerahobby goes turf to dirt and route to sprint this afternoon for trainer Reed Saldana who scored with the mare Take A Leap last week. This gelding finished a well-beaten 2nd in lone Los Al appearance and has shown the affinity for finishing in the runner-up spot as evidenced by his career record (34-3-14-5). At a likely short price, the gelding is tough to endorse with confidence on the win end. 6-Bob’s Sniper is eligible to improve off 2nd place effort June 12 making his 2nd start off the 8-month hiatus today for a barn that’s come out firing. This gelding has had prior success going 5 ½ furlongs.

Selections: 7-3-6

Race #2: 3-Dr. Troutman comes off two back-to-back sharp tries that resulted in a win two-back and runner-up effort in most recent start. The gelding was a smart winner when claimed over this course when last seen back in December of last year and earned a solid (81) Beyer when doing so. 5-Family Biz is unproven over this racecourse but has run consistently well at this reduced $12,500 claiming tag level and appears to be the one to beat from off the pace. This hard-hitting road warrior gelding is a 6-time winner at the distance and makes career start number 43 this afternoon. 1-Studly Perfection has not tried routing since September of last year and when doing so flashed sharp speed before quickly fading. Some of his other mile efforts at Del Mar and Santa Anita, however, produced far better results when this 7-year-old gelding was able to carry his early zip much further. He draws the rail today and should be on the engine.

Selections: 3-5-1

Race #3: In a race that’s projected to favor frontrunners 6-Star Entry should be forwardly placed and takes a substantial class drop today going from $16k to $8k claimers. He comes into this event with an improving Beyer pattern while making the all-important 3rd start off the layoff. This 3-year-old colt also broke his Maiden over this strip last December. 2-Fun Coupons should also be in the hunt early today on the class drop while coming off a disappointing beaten favorite 5th. The 5-year-old broke his Maiden over this course last September and appears well-spotted today for trainer Adan Farlas. 3-Derby Storm has not shown much since returning off an extended layoff but could wake up at this reduced level today moving from nighttime racing to an afternoon daytime card.

Selections: 6-2-3

Race #4: 7-Truth Prevails moves up off the win and claim for new connections that click close to 30% with new acquisitions. Winning rider Ramirez stays onboard, and this mare owns the field’s best last-out Beyer (69) (which is above par for this level).  She has a good chance to string together back-to-back wins despite the move up in class and attempting an additional furlong. The lightly raced 4-year-old filly 2-All has not competed outside of Golden Gate and the synthetic surface but has trained well off the mini-freshening on dirt for trainer Jonathan Wong who had a win and second here last week. 5-Family Trips drops in class and should be much tighter making her 2nd start off the layoff today. She’s a 3-time winner at this 5 ½ furlong distance and gets in light with 7 lb. apprentice.

Selections: 7-2-5

Race #5: Of the Steve Miyadi-trained pair of fillies 4-It’s Saul Right looks best dropping in for a tag for the first time and making the all-important 3rd career start. She finished a good 2nd in May 13 debut but was then a disappointing well-beaten 4th in career start number two without much of an excuse. The filly earned back-to-back 38 Beyers for both of her efforts and those figs fit snuggly against this weak group. Vazquez was on fire opening weekend and takes over the mount today. She holds an experience edge over barn’s FTS 3-The Comrie Rule who has trained well enough for unveiling and is by multiple G1 winner Stay Thirsty. The barn reaches out to rider that has won nearly 50% of Los Al starts when teamed up with these connections. 5-Danzigs Star Storm ships in from Golden Gate and makes first start for trainer Brian Koriner over the main track surface off a strong worktab which includes a sharp 3-furlong blowout in :35.4 June 25. This filly makes her 3rd career start and first against straight Maiden Claimers on the class drop.

Selections: 4-3-5

Race #6: 2-Quick Finish goes turf to dirt off the Jonathan Wong claim who is a strong 5 for 14 (36%) with a $3.54 ROI with newly acquired purchases. This veteran 8-year-old gelding has run par or better for this class level on multiple occasions and figures to be a handful at this level with hot rider climbing aboard. 7-Alpine Thunder comes into today off a sharp win under the lights at 1,000 yards but did break Maiden from off the pace going 5 ½ furlongs (albeit back in 2020 of last year) and projects to get a favorable stalking trip this afternoon. 1-Starship Chewbacca has won 3 of his last 5 starts including a rallying neck score over this course back in December of last year. The gelding comes off the mini-freshening today and goes first off the claim for trainer Ed Moger. This conditioner is a dull 1 for 41 the past 5 years with new barn purchases, however, making it tough to advocate for him on the win end.

Selections: 2-7-1

Race #7: A challenging Maiden Special Weight event sprint with a handful of new shooters closes out the condensed Friday afternoon card. 5-Workday attracts top rider and is by multiple G1 winning freshman sire Accelerate. The juvenile colt has trained steadily locally since mid-May for Sadler barn that was 3 for 4 at the current stand as of this writing. 7-Straighten Up debuts for hall of fame connections off some snappy a.m. drills including two noteworthy bullet drills on June 11 & 25. This 2-year-old colt’s sire Straight Free is 3 for 16 (18%) with debut juvenile runners. 10-Chicknfingerfriday adds blinkers today and holds the experience edge after a slow start and wide trip June 4 in debut effort.  The colt is by G1 KY Derby/Preakness winner I’ll Have Another and is eligible to move forward off that 4th place finish. 6-Royal Halo is worth a mention making the all-important 3rd career start and returning to face state bred Maidens. The colt was a sharp beaten favorite 2nd in debut and showed good tactical early zip in both local SA outings.

Selections: 5-7-10

Leave a Reply

More from this show