Nick Tammaro’s Aqueduct Analysis – Thursday, February 3, 2022

AQUEDUCT – 2/3/22

RACE 1: 5-6-7-3

#5 LONG TERM is clearly the one to beat after chasing a hot pace going 9 panels.  He improved mightily at second asking and now faces an even weaker field going a mile.  The winner of his last is one of the choices in Saturday’s Withers here at Aqueduct.

RACE 2: 2-6-7-5

#2 ST LUKES scored authoritatively last time out and was claimed out of that affair by Mike Miceli.  This barn has a solid strike rate from a limited sample of runners first off claims and this son of Tapiture can stay close from the outset.  There’s still upside here as well.

RACE 3: 6-3-4-1

#6 DEFAULT PERFECTION was a tremendously impressive maiden winner at second asking and now figures to improve.  She likely relished the wet track last time out, but her debut was far from poor.  She showed increased speed on the stretchout too, which is yet another positive.

RACE 4: 3-2-1-5

The sale workout of #3 CAPONE at the Fasig-Tipton Timonium sale in 2021 was tremendously impressive.  He blitzed a furlong in :10 and 2/5 while lugging in with the exercise rider simply doing everything possible to stay aboard.  He appears to be working strongly in the AM so tab the tote action to get a better line on his chances.

RACE 5: 5-4-2-8

This event looks ripe for an upset and #5 OUR AMERICAN STAR is a late runner who figures to get a strong pace setup.  There are 3 potential frontrunners in here and this son of Noonmark has shown incremental improvement of late.  You’ll get a huge price too for a barn that scored a big upset here last week.

RACE 6: 9-8-6-2

#9 WE READY goes 2nd off a layoff here after racing hopelessly wide on a day where the rail was the place to be last time out.  He fits nicely at this class level and faces a particularly weak field, even for these types.  The outside post and weight break are positives.

RACE 7: 7-6-4-9

#7 TALE OF MINESHAFT switches surfaces and barns as he makes his debut for trainer Rob Atras.  This is a great spot for him to try dirt given the lack of quality in this field.  Most of the main players in here are taking massive class drops because their recent form is so ugly.

RACE 8: 6-1-2-7

The big concern with #6 JEMOGRAPHY is that he has taken a step back as a 6YO but the pace scenario in his last start worked against him in a major way.  He should get a better setup this time around and you’re going to get a big price.  There are some real knocks on the choices and that makes shopping for a price horse that much more appealing.

RACE 9: 3-6-2-9

#3 BEACH BOY AL ran a bang-up race on debut contesting a white hot pace before weakening late.  He now stretches out in distance and figures to be in an ideal stalking position from the outset.  His pedigree indicates a mile should be well within his scope.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Further reading

Cross Country Pick 5 5.28.2022

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