Race 5: I’m a Snow Angel 20-1
Big price play for today’s fifth race in #5 I’m a Snow Angel at 20-1. I actually think there’s a good chance she gets bet down based on that flashy running line comment, but anything over 10-1 is good value in my opinion. She broke okay in her debut, but had to take up ever so slightly and it took her a while to regain her momentum as she lagged way behind the field. She was still about fourteen lengths behind the leaders as they turned for home, but she did finish up nicely with a big kick to get up for fourth and galloped out in front of the field. She earned a 60 Beyer for that performance, so she’ll have to improve to compete with this field. That speed figure is in the same ballpark at least and it’s reasonable to expect her to improve in career start number two. She gets an extra half-furlong to work with today, and with a clean break I’m hoping she won’t be fourteen lengths out of it again. Pretty much all of the main contenders in here want to be forwardly placed so there’s a chance they go too fast up front, setting it up for her big kick. I’m taking a chance with her on the win end, and she’s certainly usable underneath in exotics.
Race 8: #4 Enjoythesilent 3-1
This gelding will probably be a shorter price than this, but I think he’s in with a big shot. He ran fine in his debut on turf last July, lagging well off the pace and several horses to split the field in a useful first start. But then he was seen’t for nearly eleven months when he returned to the races over the synthetic.Well, he certainly came back and improved with a dominating effort to win by over five lengths, and it probably could’ve been more. He showed a bit more speed than his debut, settling in mid-pack behind an honest pace. When he was asked to run in the far turn, he passed rivals with a rush and quickly took over the lead and galloped away. It was visually impressive and I’m interested to see if he can improve second off the layoff. He’s going two turns for the first time, but he handled seven furlongs with no problem and that can be a testing distance. It’s encouraging that Kimura sticks here when he seemingly had other options, and Attard has good numbers with the stretchout (17% winners, $3.05 ROI). It appears there is plenty of early speed signed on to give him a chance from off the pace.
