LS: Long Shots BF: Bad Favorites
Race 1: 4-3-5
Tough way to start the day, babies going 5 1/2 on the dirt, most are first-time starters. #4 Xavey Dave is a half to 2nd all-time leading money winner in MN, Hot Shot Kid. Been working well for Robertson…let the board be your guide.
Race 2: 3-4-2
#3 Lord Dragon should be breathing fire early on and get the lead or at least be up close….very consistent, been facing tougher overall, toss out last which was a turf stake event. Fits very well here.
Race 3: 4-9-7
Wide open, difficult race, use as many as possible. #4 Superstar Bea is dropping and gets positive rider switch to Quinonez. 3/41 does not exude confidence, but most of those vs. much tougher. Needs the right trip/setup.
Race 4: 1-5-3
Pick 5 starts here…..ABC selections below:
|
Race # |
A | B |
C |
|
4 |
1,5 | 3 |
6,8,9 |
|
5 |
2,7 | 8,12 |
3,4 |
|
6 |
11 | 8,9,10 |
3,7 |
|
7 |
3,5,11 | 2,6,7 |
X |
|
8 |
4,7,10 | 2,3,6,8 |
1 |
Caveman P5 Race #6-10 ticket: 135 / 278 12 / 11 / 23567 11 / 47 10 ($108)
Hope #1 Top Dog is just that….races well while wide and rough trip last time….saves ground this time, turning back, runs down the speed?
Race 5: 7-2-12
#7 Reid’s Fangirl first-time starter out of an Into Mischief mare, Conquest Misbehave, who had marginal success with 76 Beyers in tough alw. turf races. Good, quick works…..total guess in a puzzler.
Race 6: 11-10-9
Obviously believe better ones are on the outside in this affair. Recent claim #11 Joe Jackson better have his running shoes on (baseball reference). Had good early speed to overcome the post, needs to break well and find a way to save some ground for Rosin and Hamilton.
Race 7: 5-11-3
#5 Goldie’s Delight’s one turf race fits with these. Toss out last in the mud, she has as good a chance as any in a very tough race to decipher…most of these run similar numbers, looking for a fresh face with Goldie, who has not faced this company. 3yo filly drops from MdnSpWt to Md 16k.
Race 8: 10-4-7 LS: 10
Few races this meet have had as much early speed in a race as this one. So I have to go with one that can rate and pass, and that’s the Long Shot Play of the Day, #10 Biarritz (10-1 ML). Made a major improvement last time in turf sprint, tracking and exploding vs. decent horses. 10-post no gimme at 5f on the turf, but I think Canchari will find a way to tuck in based on so much speed to his inside. Back-to-back victories, this time at a price?
