Canterbury Park Analysis – Sunday, Aug. 15th – by Howard Kravets

LS: Long Shots   BF: Bad Favorites

Race 1:    4-3-5

Tough way to start the day, babies going 5 1/2 on the dirt, most are first-time starters. #4 Xavey Dave is a half to 2nd all-time leading money winner in MN, Hot Shot Kid. Been working well for Robertson…let the board be your guide.

Race 2:    3-4-2

#3 Lord Dragon should be breathing fire early on and get the lead or at least be up close….very consistent, been facing tougher overall, toss out last which was a turf stake event. Fits very well here.

Race 3:   4-9-7

Wide open, difficult race, use as many as possible. #4 Superstar Bea is dropping and gets positive rider switch to Quinonez. 3/41 does not exude confidence, but most of those vs. much tougher. Needs the right trip/setup.

Race 4:    1-5-3

Pick 5 starts here…..ABC selections below:

Race #




1,5 3



2,7 8,12



11 8,9,10



3,5,11 2,6,7



4,7,10 2,3,6,8


Caveman P5 Race #6-10 ticket:  135 / 278 12 / 11 / 23567 11 / 47 10  ($108)  

Hope #1 Top Dog is just that….races well while wide and rough trip last time….saves ground this time, turning back, runs down the speed?

Race 5:    7-2-12

#7 Reid’s Fangirl first-time starter out of an Into Mischief mare, Conquest Misbehave, who had marginal success with 76 Beyers in tough alw. turf races. Good, quick works… guess in a puzzler.

Race 6:   11-10-9

Obviously believe better ones are on the outside in this affair. Recent claim #11 Joe Jackson better have his running shoes on (baseball reference). Had good early speed to overcome the post, needs to break well and find a way to save some ground for Rosin and Hamilton.

Race 7:    5-11-3

#5 Goldie’s Delight’s one turf race fits with these. Toss out last in the mud, she has as good a chance as any in a very tough race to decipher…most of these run similar numbers, looking for a fresh face with Goldie, who has not faced this company. 3yo filly drops from MdnSpWt to Md 16k.

Race 8:    10-4-7     LS: 10

Few races this meet have had as much early speed in a race as this one. So I have to go with one that can rate and pass, and that’s the Long Shot Play of the Day, #10 Biarritz (10-1 ML). Made a major improvement last time in turf sprint, tracking and exploding vs. decent horses. 10-post no gimme at 5f on the turf, but I think Canchari will find a way to tuck in based on so much speed to his inside. Back-to-back victories, this time at a price?



















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