Race 1: 2-6-1
Bottom-level MN-bred maidens in the opener. Not a lot of talent here, so I’ll go with a horse that should be on the lead, #2 Rosehill Road. She’s probably only a good break away from winning, wire to wire. Has finished 2nd in last two, consistent.
Race 2: 1-2-3
#1 Neverblink might take advantage of early speed to his outside. 2nd off the layoff, drops back down the level he was claimed at 2-back, for 5k, logical and decent price awaits.
Race 3: 4-9-10
Babies going 5 1/2 furlongs, experience is important in these races. So, #4 Hoya Paranoya (Georgetown U. fans?) ran into a real good one first out, should be forwardly placed, and has fast works since her debut. Colorado-bred wins in Minnesota…why not? Needs to beat 2 outside runners who are well-bred and could be talented.
Race 4: 7-4-2 (Dirt: 7-4-5)
Whether turf or dirt, #7 Priddis can win on either surface. Takes the blinks off, can show tactical speed, and jockey Wade hopes to rate this filly just off the pace and pounce late. Sire was a nice turf horse, dirt breeding on the bottom side of the pedigree.
Race 5: 2-9-5
Tough race here, very competitive. Chalking it out however with #2 Blazing Charm, who ran into a buzzsaw last time to finish 2nd. She has a good style for this race shape, will come from just off the pace and go by in the stretch. Very consistent form, 9/13 in the money, 5/5 at the distance.
Race 6: 9-4-3 (Dirt 9-3-4)
You want to be forwardly placed for the most part when sprinting 5f on any turf course, and #9 Dusty Ford has that in spades. 112 early pace Timeform US rating firmly puts her on the lead, just needs to break and have a bit more stamina. Last effort was an upgrade from her debut effort.
Race 7: 1-8-6
#1 Midnight Current has just missed in her last 3 outings by a total of 2 1/2 lengths. Inside trip coming, and shorter distance will suit her. Eikleberry knows the filly well, having ridden her in her first two starts. Like the turf to dirt angle too, has a nice foundation now.
Race 8: 5-2-3
#5 Wild Behavior has the class, early speed, and form to beat these with a good break. 4/11 lifetime and won the last 3 starts, don’t really see a horse that can go with him early if he’s right. Possible single in your P5 play.
Race 9: 6-2-3
Same condition as Race 1, again want to play early speed, so that would be #6 Devoted to You. Has a bit of case of second-itis, 4 2nd’s in 7 starts….but all of those except one were vs. tougher. Wire-to-wire threat today.