340: 118 – 80 – 65 Top Choice: 35% ITM: 77%
We’re at the “final quarter mile” of the meet, with 4 more race weeks to go. Still lots of great action coming up, including MN-bred Festival of Champions Day and the BCBC Big Ten Betting Challenge.
Race 1: 4-3-2
#4 Edgie Reggie had the most ridiculous shuffle back replay I’ve seen in a while….lost at least 5 lengths due to trouble. Has to improve, but can’t get a worst trip than he got last time. Enough early speed here to set up his late kick.
Race 2: 7-3-1
#7 Sonny Smack is a nice 6yo gelding whose earned 258k. Is in excellent form, now in the barn of Lund off of Diodoro. Only concern is one published work since July 8th. Other than that, fits like a glove and should run down the speed if right.
Race 3: 6-1-2
#6 The Champs Kid is a first-time starter from the outside post, never an easy task. But, she’s out of a Latent Heat mare Sky and Sea (228k) and a half to Hell of the North (95k). Has good works, including a work from the gate in 47 1/5. Not much to beat on paper as well.
Race 4: 2-4-6
#2 Friendly and Kind goes for Eikleberry and Broberg, has excellent early tactical speed, and just romped off the claim, albeit on dirt. Doesn’t need the lead, should sit a nice trip, 33% win rate is quite impressive.
Race 5: 4-5-1
#4 Flash Flood is 1-for…but so are all of these. What I like most here is the fact that she should sit a nice trip, considering she has early speed in a race with little of it. Hope she lets the #5 go, makes her move on the turn, and holds off the closers….tricky race.
Race 6: 4-2-5
#4 Prince Rama is 5/8 lifetime in the money, and is in good form, so you’d think 3yo gelding should fire. Almost beat very quick Candy Prince last time, and 3rd-place finisher out of that race came back and won, Westons Wildcat.
Race 7: 3-7-4
If you want to see a running line that looks much better than it is, watch the replay of the last race by the grey, #3 Silver Ratio. Short comments are accurate. Broke slow, then rushed up into a very fast pace, only to tire late. Will sit off the #2 most likely and has a big shot if he can run back to his numbers last year….needs a better start too.
Race 8: 1-6-4
There’s plenty of early speed in this race with few if any good closers. When this scenario occurs, I go with who I think is the speed of the speed, and that would be #1 Elegant Cricket by the numbers. Has been involved in sub-22 sec, 44 and change seconds to the half races lately. Don’t see anyone in there that go that fast early, hoping class will tell and she will get loose at some point.
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