Gulfstream Park Saturday Jan 11th by Chris Cupples 2 Great MSW on today’s card you do not want to miss.

All statistics unless stated other wise are situation specific.  Example   Last 5 years   1st Time Starter /MSW / Turf / Route = %
Any mention of Figures refers to my personal figures unless stated otherwise.
Expect typos and grammar errors!  Time is of the essence and I do not even have the budget for intern around here.

Please feel free to leave Comments or reach out to me on Twitter (@c_cupples) with any questions and/or suggestions.
I will be covering the Early Pick 5 in detail, and quick thoughts on rest of card.
You can find John Pinder’s work on the late Pick 5 under the Gulfstream Park menu as well here at Inthemoneypodcast.com

Friday was absolutely brutal …. some was horse racing luck and a lot was being absolutely wrong at every turn…. But not the first one of those days I have had and certainly will not be the last.

Early Pick 5
R1 – 2 7 9 11
R2 – 4 7                B – 1
R3 – 1 2 7             B – 4 5
R4 – 6 7 8
R5 – 1

Turf Pick 3 
R5 – 1 8      B – 2 3 4 6 7  (The way these Turf P3’s pay I would not be opposed to buying this race in hopes of catching a price here and the last.)
R9 – 6
R11 – 2 3 4 7 9 10

Race 1 looks to have a few who well be contending for the lead.
A LINE  Hair splitting time.
2 Eton took a big step forward in his second start breaking sharp before slowly dropping off the pace and made a big run through traffic.   Prior to his last he was being outworked by his stablemate Oscarworthy but was clearly best of the two.   If all these runners go then looks to get a pace to run into.
7 Got Sunny should be able to sit right off of the 1 (assuming is sent).   Last out was ridden early on the lead and managed to finish well coming off an extended layoff.
9 Reverend Mon is 0 for 7 while never trying a route of ground so distance is the question.   Has finished strong in his 6 furlongs efforts in New York and has looked very good in the morning since the claim.

B LINE
4 (SCR) Westside Tide arguably makes the A line on connections alone and Saffie has solid stats in this spot.   There is a chance this colt takes a big jump forward in his second start and moving to the grass.  Reasons to fade a bit… Has looked average in the morning before and after debut.   Last time on the tapeta Edgar was shoving this along nearly gate to wire.
11 Titan I had on top last time at a price and he ran respectable but ultimately had no excuse getting first run tiring late.  Nov 1st race – The video has a gap of his last when a horse fell, Titan was 3-4L off the lead out wide, When the video picked back up he is last 10 lengths or more back.  Then Makes a long sustained run …..   Definitely better than paper form suggests..

Others
1 Art and Design has looked good recently working on the grass and work mate Win with Faith recently won at this level.  Could be sent from the rail and see what happens.
6 Agapee Mou has some turf races that fit but I can not back Karmanos at this point….
10 Hurricane Express should take a bit of money but has been awful in the mornings since the barn change and was a vet scratch Dec. 14th
12 Oscarworthy would make the B Line if not for the post.

Race 2 if the 3 or 5 were to scratch this race would completely change.
A LINE 
4 Bellweather for Saffie and Edgar has been consistent since breaking her maiden as a 5 year old which you do not see much.   She has no excuses in previous effort and hopefully she is more forwardly placed then my other top contender.
7 Refugiada’s lack of speed has been an issue the last two starts.  Maybe Tyler can get involved early in this small field with an outside post.

B LINE
1 Canny Land ran nearly as well as my top two selections last time when trying the tapeta but like the 7 has no early speed but if gets the ground saving trip in side could trip out.

If the both speed horses 3 and 5 run I will fade the pair.

Race 3 we will see who can grind home as all of these seem to struggle going 7 furlongs and if I was going to use the ALL button in this sequence this would be the spot.  Nothing hidden here so I will be brief
A LINE
1 Aless Queen should easily clear from the rail unless the 6 is Quarter horsed out of the gate.  Has ran the 7 furlongs the last 3 starts and those races are good enough to beat this field.
2 Star of Saturn is the first of two in here that need re-gain their prior form.
7 Sophia’s Storm was horrible last time getting outpaced early but came wide to pickup tired horses.   She has a few races that bury this group if she can find her old form.

B LINE by a fine margin.
5 Timely Reward just looks slow…  but Saffie/Edgar

Race 4 is the first of two nice MSW’s on the card.
A LINE
4 Gualillo (SCR) has 4 works over at XBTV.   This gelding has been solid in the morning showing plenty of fitness and responds to the rider like a seasoned horse.   D’Angelo is 10% in this spot and seems to reach for Saez when he has a runner.
6 Vanderbilt puts me back on my soap box.   The morning line favorite and assumingly favorited at post time with ABSOLUTE NOTHING!  No videos to be found and nothing on the clocker report.   Cox has won with a first timer here at Gulfstream and at Tampa.   The Dam was 5 for 7 sprinting over the dirt winning on debut and running 3rd in the BC Juv fillies while earning nearly a million.
7 Skate Away for Pletcher has done nothing to wow you in the morning but no negatives.   Workmate Grand goes in the 7th both have worked equally in my opinion.
8 River Thames I have not seen work with my own eyes but clocker report is all positive and Johnny V has worked this one and the 7, make of that what you will.

B LINE
1 Jack’s Promise has nothing hidden while having the best race of this lightly raced group.
3 White Wale is a half to Roy H and by what I seen in the mornings prior to debut has been a disappointment in 3 starts.
9 Tiger Twenty Four was working average at Saratoga this summer before being scratched.
11 Cocktailsnkringle was another that was working well prior to debut but has disappointed since.   Gelded / Lasix and has experience is intriguing.

Race 5 is a state bred stakes race ?  The field does not look it and I will be forcing a Lone A play due to a tough sequence ending with a race I could make a case for every runner.
LONE A – 1 Love Mami Love draws inside and will get the pace to run into.  Hoping we can another great ride like Tyler put on this filly last time which is worth the watch if not seen the replay.   Negative is two back she was in for 25K now we are running a stakes….

Race 6 looks to be a great betting race if you can land on the correct horse.
A LINE  – 1 4 5 6
5 Krioyo I bet last time when he got up in time and is the only horse in the field with 2 wins and Doubles with these 3 legs just in case I am right 3 in a row, which after yesterday’s debacle could be risky.

Daily Double 
R6 – 5
R7 – 9

Race 7
9 Camp Hale I have been on since debut at Keeneland so maybe I have married this one and need to seek council…    During Keeneland’s fall contest myself and others lost a ton on Patch Adams.   I had only 1 saver bet in the contest and it was Camp Hale over Patch Adams.   I even had 4 horse tri’s that were dead on target, except I had not a single ticket with David of Athens on top!
Camp Hale was eye catching in the mornings prior to debut which you rarely see from a Wilkes runner.
The Friday prior to his debut me and my wife took a trip to Coolmore in Lexington (BIG THANK YOU TO JIM GOODMAN)   When we were getting a look at Mo Town I even mentioned this colt to Robyn Murray of Coolmore telling her I thought this could be the best Mo Town baby yet….
The post is not ideal and has to answer the distance question but I must bet something on this colt today.

1 Grande has looked good in the morning with nothing negative.  Workmate Skate Away runs in the 4th.
2 Wild Conqueror once again another Cox runner with no info to be found.
6 Can’t Stop Munning ran very well last time chasing Patch Adams in a very fast race.
8 Gosger (SCR)took money here at Gulfstream on debut finishing second to Ain’t No Disco most definitely should improve off a nice effort.

Race 8 is another very competitive 10K open claimer on the tapeta.   John will have more in depth for a pick 5 but in a race where most smartly decide to spread here I will mention a couple.
12 Smart Spending (SCR)  last effort for this level was highly impressive circling the field easily drawing clear with a convincing win.   I will take a shot with this mare.
With this Scratch of Smart Spending I think opens this race up as I do not trust Cabernet so have no other strong opinion here.

14 AE Cabernet has done something you rarely see dropping down to bottom level to break her maiden then clearing conditions into open company and just keeps winning.   I have landed on the same analysis the last 3 time with this mare.   She needs to find more to compete with this group.   BUT!! She keeps doing it!

Race 9 I will eat the chalk here with 6 Dream On after being a sitting duck in the BC Juvenile Turf.
There are many in this race with plenty of reasons to improve but I will try a small Exacta here with the 9 Scarecrow underneath the favorite.

Race 10 I want as many as I can get on a ticket.  This state bred division for older dirt routers is begging for a new face.

Race 11 I am similar to Race 10 using many on my Turf P3 ticket with nothing clever.