All statistics unless stated other wise are situation specific. Example Last 5 years 1st Time Starter /MSW / Turf / Route = %
Any mention of Figures refers to my personal figures unless stated otherwise.
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I will be covering the Early Pick 5, plus any strong plays, stakes, MSW late on cards. You can find John Pinder’s work on the late Pick 5 under the Gulfstream Park menu as well here at Inthemoneypodcast.com
QUICK SUNDAY REVIEW
Early Pick 5 I took a big swing… and it did not work out but was not disappointed in the work.
R1 was to form getting second choice home.
R2 morning line favorite I faded ran last got 4-1 home.
R3 I faded the favorite again and got my 2nd choice home.
R4 16th pole thought we were looking at WILL PAYS!! 16-1 shot got up .
R5 I used the winner again with NO INFORMATION on a first timer. The most frustrating part of this race is the people who simply went to window and placed win bets on Irad only because it was Irad left thinking their brilliant!! SMH
Pick 5 paid $6292.80 I have no clue how you would figure the correct answer out… But a guess if the 3 wins the 4th is the pick 5 pays 1/6 of that ? which would not have been the goal… but nice to cash…
R6 Is the 1 favorite of the day I believed in and gets beat by the only the horse I had any interest in but did not use… lol
R7 Nothing to note
R8 Having the winner of a 12 furlong race was somewhat of a moral victory.
R9 This was a rare occasion that I used Irad because it was Irad. I struggle with the 12 Furlong races and got lucky!! TRIPNOTE – L’Antharis never had a chance in the stretch completely blocked the entire way…
R10 Winner Cat Eyes I did not like and is apparently is beast the way she finished. She did have a great trip with pace to close into but was eye catching late. African Waters once again looked to find a group she could tame until the winner exploded.. ( loosing my top pick with a late scratch was bummer, then once I seen Cat Eyes run I knew it would not have mattered anyway)
P6 paid $36000 for .20 I got ZERO!
IRAD!!! Is not riding at Gulfstream today…. So my guess is everything Tyler is on will be over bet…
Early Pick 5 has some smaller fields that look very competitive so investing too much in this early pick 5 could get ugly.
Scratches changed things a bit. Now I could see taking a chance singling in race 1 (Also this ups my win wager a bit on the 7) and opting for more coverage in Race 4 than I have here.
R1 – 7 B – 5 (Add anyone taking unexpected money)
R2 – 1 2 6
R3 – 1 2 7
R4 – 1 3
R5 – 3 5 6
Race 1 – I have no strong opinion not finding a clear standout. I will likely be using just the A line unless someone I have in my B Line is taking a considerable amount of money.
A LINE
3 Campaign Secret SCR should improve from the debut for Terranova who is only 1 for 9 in this spot. I took nothing negative out of the debut but also nothing to get my attention either.
5 Mo Harmony will could need another start but the way this filly has looked over the tapeta I do not want to leave her off my tickets.
7 Abundant Love ran for a tag last time but that was versus open bred fillies and in my opinion is clearly the best race any of these have run to date. Karamanos is 0 for 16 for the meet combined with running for a tag last time should lock in a decent price. I will make a action type win bet on this filly at a price.
B LINE by a small margin but I do not see this early pick 5 paying enough to get to spready.
1 Sweet Run could get loose from the rail here which makes her very dangerous.
2 Starship Melody – Lack of information
8 Golden Valley was a Vet Scratch Dec. 12th but she gets some credit coming out an Oct. 26th race being narrowly beaten by what I think are two very nice Florida Bred Fillies…
9 City Taah was not in for the tag on debut which could have just been a starting point. Nov. 27th work prior to debut I thought this filly looked good enough to include here.
10 Win After Win – Lack of information
Race 2 is for maiden 17,500 on the tapeta, so definitely a spot that makes it difficult to confident in anyone.
A LINE
1 Did I Dazzle You drawing the rail is not idea and I have no clue where her last race come from, but if she can get away clean repeating that last race……… Gets a jockey change to Rios who quietly is having a great meet at .22% and sprinting on the tapeta for meet Rios is 3 for 10 and in the money 8 of those 10.
2 Not Guilty changes barns and gets Edgar up trying the tapeta for the first time. No works to watch….
6 Boot’s on the Moon who progressively made her way down the class ladder for Spatz and have solid work notes for this one throughout. Will be the first time sprinting on the tapeta since her second start while performing respectfully every start.
Favorite 4 Pharaoh’s Favorite but not mine…. she will not be on my tickets. OLD WORK NOTES nothing positive, needs 2 turns, etc…. She was first entered July 26th in a MSW going 7.5 on the grass but was vet scratched then did zero running on debut.
Race 3 I could not find a clear standout. Nothing hidden so I will be brief with no top selection here.
A LINE
1 Winooski has ran 3 solid tapeta routes since changing surfaces and doing it wide each time.
2 Speed Control is the only one in here that made me think I am over complicating this one. Maybe it’s as simple as this gelding goes gate to wire but I am not that confident.
7 Remerton has routed on the tapeta 8 times with his worst finish being a distance 4th. If not for the barn change I would have this one on top but claiming from Delgado is not an easy task.
B LINE 4 6
Race 4 could have the most used single in the early pick 5 and I would not fault anyone for leaning on the favorite.
A LINE
1 Bal De Mar is moving up from maiden claiming back in the MSW and versus open bred fillies. This filly has progressively gotten better in the morning on the tapeta and her last work on the page is sub 46 sec and looked good doing it. I know the tapeta has been lightning quick but I have not many 45.4 works…
5 Flashy Motor (SCR) moves the tapeta where she was working very well back in October prior to debut. I have not seen any of her recent works.
B – 3 Hedge My Bet is the other Casse that I could make a case for but I am spreading too much already.
Race 5 Nothing hidden here so I will be brief once again.
A LINE
3 Ekati King – First off the claim Saffie w Edgar enough said..
5 Black Fury has been solid consistently showing up and distance is no issue.
6 Awesome Beast is a horse I bet on debut back in May at a price. Looks to be working as well now as he was prior to debut, but of course concerning when one vanishes for months after debut. Now faces winners for the first time off a long hiatus.
