Nick Tammaro’s Aqueduct Analysis – Friday, December 31, 2021

AQUEDUCT – 12/31/21

RACE 1: 4-5-1

#4 CASTLE CHAOS is clearly the one to beat as he returns off a brief layoff.  The MSW event he exits has yielded subsequent 2x winners Happy Medium and No Burn and he figures to get an ideal stalking trip on the outside.

RACE 2: 5-1-2

#5 MAGNETIQUE is the one to catch for Michelle Nevin as she takes a sizable class drop as well.  This filly has been at her best on dirt, and her prior wet track form is encouraging given the expected weather conditions.  Should she be left to her own devices on the front end, she’s a threat to go the distance.

RACE 3: 3-6-5-2

In watching the debut effort of #3 RUNNINGSONOFAGUN, you have to be taken by the effort he put forth.  Following a troubled start, this son of Gun Runner immediately reached contention and stayed on well in a race largely dominated on the front end.  He now goes first off a claim by a barn that has had success in NY from a limited sample.

RACE 4: 6-7-1-9

While it’s never easy to cozy up to a 1-12 runner in a N2L claimer, #6 MAZAL EIGHTEEN is clearly the one to beat.  She was a good 2nd last time out following another solid effort at this level and figures to get a great trip stalking the pace today.  The balance of this field is woeful and that only adds to the appeal.

RACE 5: 5-3-2-4

Rob Atras looks to have this affair covered given that #3 BLEWITT is the one to catch, but #5 VETTORI KIN is interesting himself.  He has had limited tries on dirt in the past, but has performed well and enters in good form.  A wet track would likely help his chances.

RACE 6: 6-4-7-2

#6 UNTREATED came back off a layoff to win handily here in November and now goes 2nd off the bench.  He showed promise early in his career and is now getting an opportunity to run through his allowance conditions.  The likelihood of a decent pace in here will set the table for him nicely in the late stages.

RACE 7: 9-4-2-7

In a race ripe for an upset, #9 TIERGAN enters off a very solid effort for trainer Rudy Rodriguez.  Much iIke his stablemate, #2 DANNY CALIFORNIA, this gelding was wide on the course the whole way last time out and stayed on well to the finish.  He excels at 9fs and will have no issue with a wet surface.

RACE 8: 10-7-6-4

#10 CURLIN’S WISDOM switches surfaces for trainer Bill Mott after setting the pace and weakening in his late stages.  He is the one to catch in this affair and showed enough ability in that strong unveiling to be a heavy favorite here.

WINTER CHAMPIONSHIP MEET STATS: 59-12-13-6     $87.60

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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