Nick Tammaro’s Aqueduct Analysis – Friday, September 23, 2022

AQUEDUCT – 9/23/22

RACE 1: 4-1-2-7

We’re back on the turf at the Big A and the move to the weeds could help #4 MISINTENTION, who is the lone speed moving to the lawn.  She set a fast pace before tiring last time out and now switches surfaces.  Her 2nd dam was graded stake winning turfer Mushka, who produced turf winner Heyaraat. There’s reason to believe the grass could be greener.

RACE 2: 2-6-7-1

#2 BOSS CARA was buried inside last time out against much tougher and now lands in a realistic spot.  The pace should also set up in her favor this afternoon with a few potential speedsters signed on.  These connections will almost ensure a decent price as well.


RACE 3: 1-6-7-3

#1 TODAY’S FLAVOR is in from California and is likely to be very tough to beat facing NY breds off the bench as a new gelding.  He has a couple of potential rivals on the outside in this field of seven, but the prior efforts from this son of Laoban are just too good for these.

RACE 4: 6-1-3-8

The first off the claim effort of #6 MAJORITY PARTNER was very good.  He will bid to make it two straight with a hot pace expected in this affair.  That should help this son of Unified sit just off the pace and pounce late.  He always had potential and is now prepared to realize it since he came back off a brief break at the Spa.

RACE 5: 3-7-6-9

Everything was in place for #3 TIZZY IN THE SKY to win last time out, but a poor break from the gate led to her losing too much ground and coming up short.  She is now going to be a strong favorite once again in search of that first victory.  The mile should be no worry given how she finished last time out.

RACE 6: 8-9-10-2

A disastrous break from the gate dogged #8 ITSALLCOMINTOGETHA on debut and he wound up putting forth a huge run to be third.  He should improve with that race behind him and the price will still be fair given his modest speed figure last time out.  A cleaner gate break will go the longest way towards him improving.

RACE 7: 5-7-8-4

It is still debatable as to whether #5 CONSTITUTIONLAWYER is truly a turf horse.  What is known is that he had no chance last time out given the wide trip on a turf course where saving ground was essential.  He goes an elongated trip today, and that shouldn’t be an issue, as he’ll likely be waiting in the wings when #4 C FALLS falters.

2022 Breeders Cup Wagering Guide


RACE 8: 7-2-4-6

#7 MIRACLE came out of an impressive debut win with a dull effort in the Seeking the Ante last time out on a wet track.  She should be in an ideal stalk and pounce spot today as a likely favorite.  While you don’t want to take a short price, you can’t deny her debut run was the best effort any horse in here has put forth so far.

RACE 9: 10-9-2-6

#10 BUSY MORNING is an absolute cinch in the nightcap cutting back in distance.  She was a tremendously impressive maiden winner two back from just off the pace and a similar trip is in the offing today.  She exits a stakes race where she was best and now returns to a sprint for a barn that is 17% with turfers cutting back to sprints from routes over the last 5 years ($2.21 ROI).







































































































































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