Nick Tammaro’s Aqueduct Selections and Analysis – Thursday, April 13, 2023

AQUEDUCT 4/13/23 

RACE 1: 4-7-1-6 

#4 TWICE SMITTEN faced much better last time out and wound up wide on a day when staying inside was beneficial.  She is now a pace threat 2nd off a layoff for a high percentage barn and should be a fair price at the morning line of 3-1.  There’s reason to believe she can move forward second out for Rob Atras as well.

RACE 2: 2-7-5-4

#2 DUCKPHAT moved forward last time out and continued an upward trend in her Beyer speed figures.  She gets an upgrade at pilot and should handle the 9 furlongs without issue.  That could pose a problem for some of her more distance-challenged rivals in here.  A pace battle would only help her cause.

RACE 3: 2-3-7-5

The Pick 6 gets started here (listen to podcast with Andy Serling and I here) where #2 COLLOQUY is a deserving favorite.  He is a son of Flatter getting serious class relief second off a claim after facing better last time. He has the speed to stay within range early and is a likely P6 single for many.

RACE 4: 2-7-5-8

#2 QUALITY STONES is a speedster In a favorable spot here class-wise.  She faced better last time out and showed some early life before fading late.  A wide trip dogged her that afternoon given the way the track played and she is now a candidate to improve with blinkers going on and a likely trip to the lead.

RACE 5: 3-5-2-4 

Perhaps the recency edge #3 MR. KRINGLE possesses in this field will make a difference.  He has been facing open company at Tampa Bay Downs and is back against NY breds here.  He had a hard time winning races in NY last year, but did find his way into the equation more often than not.  A slow pace works against him.

RACE 6: 2-9-6-8

#2 SACRED RHYME is going to be well backed at the windows as a debuting runner from a top barn with real pedigree.  He is a half to 2020 BC Juvenile Turf winner Fire at Will and is training forwardly for Chad Brown.  The biggest issue here is the short price you’ll have to take on a horse in an uncompetitive race on paper.

RACE 7: 4-1-6-2 

The trip endured last time out by #4 JULIANA’S ROSE was less than ideal as she was wide the entire way on a day where the rail was strong.  Trainer Mark Hennig has had a productive winter and gives this mare some time off to regroup.  She fits this affair nicely given her past mile efforts and the likelihood of a decent pace here.

RACE 8: 4-9-1/1A-6 

The assumption is that #2 ANACONDA is going to scratch given he was entered in Saturday’s Danger’s Hour. In that case, #4 NOTHING BETTER is going to be awfully tough on the front end returning from a layoff for trainer Jorge Duarte, Jr. He wired the field in a stake here in November and is the one to catch again.

























































































































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