On the Horizon – Gulfstream Park – Saturday (April 17, 2021) – John Pinder

Late Pick 5 Sequence:

Race 8  SELECTIONS: 2  –  3  –  1

#2 Taita has the most racing experience as this will be his seventh start.  His last attempt he just missed going a mile and returns today at the same distance versus a similar field.  Trainer Gustavo Delgado has a positive ROI with his maiden special weight runners.  #3 Swing Low is making his third career start for trainer Kent Sweezey.  On debut he ran a good second place, finishing strong in a race with little to no pace.  If we overlook his last outing where he stumbled badly at the start, I believe he deserves to be on the ticket as we kick off the sequence; meet leading rider from a win percentage perspective Edwin Gonzalez will be in the saddle.  #1 Road to Success is a first time starter for trainer George Weaver.  This well-bred youngster is by Quality Road who is proving to be an excellent sire, his dam Union City has three winners from five starters.  I usually give preference to runners who have a race or two underneath their belts, but the statistics on this colt are too strong to disregard.


Race 9  SELECTIONS:  8  –  6  –  2

#8 All Good will be coming from off the pace and looking to finish strong in the final jumps.  Trained by Mike Maker, this 5 year old should have no problem with the sometimes tricky distance of 7.5F. Edgard Zayas picks up the mount.  #6 Traffic Pattern is making he second start off the layoff and second start for trainer Danny Kelsey.  Last time out he pressed a moderate pace and tired in the stretch; should be able to build off of that effort and be in contention for the win.  #2 Projected returns to the barn of trainer David Carlos where he seemingly was a better runner.  His last two races were not as bad as they may look from a final position standpoint; Paco Lopez will be in the irons.


Race 10  SELECTIONS: 4  –  2  –  1

#4 Reservenotattained  could be used as a single in this leg if you are looking to get skinny at any point in today’s sequence; there is only slight cause for pause.  This 5 year-old has run races early this year that if he replicates no one will be near him as he crosses the wire first.   Those races were at 6F, today’s distance,  and versus a similar class level.  Last time out he went 7F and attempted to stalk behind a slow pace and was never able to reach the winner tiring in the stretch.  That’s a reasonable understanding as to why he didn’t perform his best, right?  The cause for pause is that he switched back to his left lead late.  That also can be rationalized by the fact that the gelding was just tiring late as he didn’t care for the extra furlong in distance.  #2 Joe Di Baggio is a hard trying 5 year old gelding that  is a value include for me.  Based on my analysis of the top runner in the field, previously discussed, I feel that the pace is going to be fast up front.  This Carlos David trainee has shown ability to come running late and win; today he just might get the opportunity to do so at a price.  #1 Life in Shambles is now 10 years old and still running competitive races.  Props to the connections for the job they have done with this one and to top it off he recently had a bullet workout going 3F in 34.4.  Can’t count out this veteran, especially if he returns from his two month rest with his A game.

Race 11  SELECTIONS: 5  –  2  –  10

#5 Advanced Strategy  is a well bred 4 year-old colt by Karakonite out of a Big Brown mare.  He has some of the best closing times of the group today and should get the perfect opportunity to use that ability in today’s 11th race. #2 Mystic Lancelot showed his ability to be tactical last time out when he sat a good stalking trip and got up late, narrowly losing by a neck.  Based on the projected pace of this race he should have an chance to be right there again today.  #10 Kaufy Bean is a hard trying 4 year-old trained by Armando De La Cerda who should be able to sit a good trip today.  Last time out he was in contention until the one-eighth pole when he bumped  another runner.  Gets red hot jockey Edwin Gonzalez in the irons.

Race 12  SELECTIONS: 10  –  1  –  12  –  4

#10 Secrets Kept drops in class today after being given a break for 58 days for trainer John Kimmel.  Last time out she lost by less than half a length versus tougher.  #1 Metafora is making her second re-start, if you will, for owner-trainer Daniel Pita.  Pita trained the horse last year and now this 3 year-old filly is back making her 2nd start since returning.  In her last race she ran her best career speed figure at the same level and distance; Jockey Leonel Reyes stays aboard.  #12 American Classic is making her second career start for a trainer that has a high win percentage with that statistic, Kelly Breen.  On debut this well bred daughter of Giant’s Causeway ran an even race versus much tougher, improvement anticipated; Paco Lopez will be in the irons.  #4 Time Sensitive is a filly by Nyquist with good early speed.  She has shown the ability in the past to sustain a good speed if she is not forced to go to early.  Trainer Gustavo Delgado is putting the blinkers back on, something that he does not do often but when he does it has been a successful move.


Leave a Reply

Further reading