PHOTO CREDIT: NYRA
Running style by course and distance
I learned something new: Saratoga doesn’t run 8 furlong races.
With that fun fact out of the way, time to talk running style. I am not going to do a chart by chart analysis of this, as I think it can serve as a reference for the forty race days of Saratoga. I will however, list a few major takeaways that I had in inspecting the data.
Takeaways:
- Early positioning (sorry for the obvious) on the dirt is extremely important. You want horses that are projected to be on the front end at the first point of call especially in shorter distance races. And if you play vertical wagers, runners that make it to the lead, or are near the lead on the dirt are typically in the money over half of the time.
- Longer distances on dirt, (perhaps counter-intuitively) appear to be even more favorable to front runners, or leaders than some shorter distance races. This may result from tactics in the races which potentially turn the races into gallops for 3 quarters of the race, and then sprints for the last quarter or so.
- Both turf courses play similarly with respect to front runners and off the pace types. It’s striking to note the difference in dirt versus turf courses spelled out with data.
- Generally if you are able to find the horse that ends up on the lead, from a win bet perspective, you would end up with a flat bet profit. Now, that is obviously easier said than done, especially given the number of factors involved in predicting the runner that will be on the lead, but something worth noting nonetheless.
To clarify quickly, the early_style_two column describes where the runner was at the first point of call for the specified course and distance. This analysis does not take into account projected running style, but the actual positioning of horses during the race. Hopefully, this can help in translating your race design, whether you use TimeformUS pace projector, or Stats, or your own algorithm, into picks and plays throughout the meet.
So without further discussion, here are the stats for Saratoga races run since 2015.
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Dirt | 5 | 1: lead | 0.2 | 1 | 4.3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5.12 | 4.3 |
Dirt | 5 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Dirt | 5 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Dirt | 5 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Dirt | 5 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.04 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Dirt | 5.5 | 1: lead | 0.2 | 80 | 145.75 | 35 | 11 | 15 | 0.44 | 0.76 | 2.19 | 1.82 |
Dirt | 5.5 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.18 | 38 | 37.05 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 0.21 | 0.58 | 1.14 | 0.98 |
Dirt | 5.5 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.15 | 108 | 102 | 18 | 20 | 14 | 0.17 | 0.48 | 1.11 | 0.94 |
Dirt | 5.5 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.13 | 69 | 37.5 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 0.1 | 0.43 | 0.79 | 0.54 |
Dirt | 5.5 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.14 | 55 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0.07 | 0.24 | 0.52 | 0.45 |
Dirt | 5.5 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.11 | 52 | 17.5 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 0.06 | 0.29 | 0.51 | 0.34 |
Dirt | 5.5 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.1 | 163 | 9.85 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 0.01 | 0.21 | 0.13 | 0.06 |
Dirt | 5.5 | 8: more than 10 | 0.06 | 48 | 23.3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0.02 | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.49 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Dirt | 6 | 1: lead | 0.19 | 248 | 474.2 | 79 | 28 | 52 | 0.32 | 0.64 | 1.69 | 1.91 |
Dirt | 6 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.15 | 190 | 204.4 | 35 | 20 | 29 | 0.18 | 0.44 | 1.21 | 1.08 |
Dirt | 6 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.15 | 404 | 296.5 | 59 | 53 | 68 | 0.15 | 0.45 | 0.95 | 0.73 |
Dirt | 6 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.14 | 238 | 145.85 | 25 | 44 | 23 | 0.11 | 0.39 | 0.75 | 0.61 |
Dirt | 6 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.12 | 184 | 118.65 | 12 | 26 | 23 | 0.07 | 0.33 | 0.54 | 0.64 |
Dirt | 6 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.1 | 157 | 37.5 | 9 | 19 | 14 | 0.06 | 0.27 | 0.59 | 0.24 |
Dirt | 6 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.09 | 414 | 199.3 | 28 | 46 | 37 | 0.07 | 0.27 | 0.74 | 0.48 |
Dirt | 6 | 8: more than 10 | 0.06 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Dirt | 6.5 | 1: lead | 0.19 | 149 | 230.6 | 46 | 10 | 31 | 0.31 | 0.58 | 1.61 | 1.55 |
Dirt | 6.5 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.16 | 109 | 65.95 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 0.16 | 0.45 | 0.95 | 0.61 |
Dirt | 6.5 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.16 | 247 | 191.8 | 35 | 29 | 43 | 0.14 | 0.43 | 0.89 | 0.78 |
Dirt | 6.5 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.14 | 140 | 108.65 | 16 | 26 | 20 | 0.11 | 0.44 | 0.79 | 0.78 |
Dirt | 6.5 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.13 | 113 | 66.2 | 11 | 20 | 9 | 0.1 | 0.35 | 0.75 | 0.59 |
Dirt | 6.5 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.1 | 77 | 125.5 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 0.05 | 0.27 | 0.5 | 1.63 |
Dirt | 6.5 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.09 | 220 | 102.05 | 17 | 32 | 19 | 0.08 | 0.31 | 0.88 | 0.46 |
Dirt | 6.5 | 8: more than 10 | 0.07 | 55 | 26.4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.04 | 0.18 | 0.52 | 0.48 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Dirt | 7 | 1: lead | 0.16 | 183 | 330.2 | 53 | 28 | 28 | 0.29 | 0.6 | 1.77 | 1.8 |
Dirt | 7 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.16 | 123 | 166.65 | 21 | 27 | 27 | 0.17 | 0.61 | 1.08 | 1.35 |
Dirt | 7 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.16 | 346 | 318.05 | 54 | 50 | 52 | 0.16 | 0.45 | 1 | 0.92 |
Dirt | 7 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.13 | 201 | 102.5 | 17 | 21 | 24 | 0.08 | 0.31 | 0.64 | 0.51 |
Dirt | 7 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.13 | 147 | 198.9 | 21 | 13 | 18 | 0.14 | 0.35 | 1.13 | 1.35 |
Dirt | 7 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.11 | 112 | 26.25 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 0.04 | 0.19 | 0.33 | 0.23 |
Dirt | 7 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.09 | 268 | 91.6 | 12 | 31 | 22 | 0.04 | 0.24 | 0.5 | 0.34 |
Dirt | 7 | 8: more than 10 | 0.05 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Dirt | 9 | 1: lead | 0.19 | 208 | 260.4 | 53 | 35 | 37 | 0.25 | 0.6 | 1.34 | 1.25 |
Dirt | 9 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.19 | 65 | 86.95 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 0.29 | 0.55 | 1.54 | 1.34 |
Dirt | 9 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.19 | 325 | 235.85 | 59 | 55 | 62 | 0.18 | 0.54 | 0.97 | 0.73 |
Dirt | 9 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.15 | 190 | 141.95 | 24 | 28 | 26 | 0.13 | 0.41 | 0.83 | 0.75 |
Dirt | 9 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.14 | 151 | 55.6 | 12 | 26 | 23 | 0.08 | 0.4 | 0.57 | 0.37 |
Dirt | 9 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.15 | 114 | 52.45 | 10 | 16 | 20 | 0.09 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.46 |
Dirt | 9 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.11 | 239 | 155.6 | 25 | 33 | 24 | 0.1 | 0.34 | 0.93 | 0.65 |
Dirt | 9 | 8: more than 10 | 0.09 | 41 | 15.4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.34 | 1.05 | 0.38 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Dirt | 10 | 1: lead | 0.17 | 9 | 31.65 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0.44 | 0.78 | 2.55 | 3.52 |
Dirt | 10 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.25 | 4 | 9.3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.75 | 2.03 | 2.32 |
Dirt | 10 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 |
Dirt | 10 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.15 | 14 | 22.3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.57 | 0.97 | 1.59 |
Dirt | 10 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.07 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Dirt | 10 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.04 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Dirt | 10 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.08 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 |
Dirt | 10 | 8: more than 10 | 0.08 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 1.08 | 0.91 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Dirt | 14 | 1: lead | 0.14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Dirt | 14 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Dirt | 14 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.23 | 11 | 7.45 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.55 | 1.16 | 0.68 |
Dirt | 14 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.14 | 2 | 6.3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 3.6 | 3.15 |
Dirt | 14 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Dirt | 14 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Dirt | 14 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Inner Turf | 8 | 1: lead | 0.11 | 137 | 446.4 | 42 | 18 | 11 | 0.31 | 0.52 | 2.77 | 3.26 |
Inner Turf | 8 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.07 | 27 | 12.8 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0.04 | 0.37 | 0.52 | 0.47 |
Inner Turf | 8 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.12 | 190 | 213.55 | 29 | 23 | 27 | 0.15 | 0.42 | 1.27 | 1.12 |
Inner Turf | 8 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.12 | 138 | 67.65 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 0.07 | 0.28 | 0.58 | 0.49 |
Inner Turf | 8 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.12 | 136 | 53.15 | 9 | 20 | 21 | 0.07 | 0.37 | 0.55 | 0.39 |
Inner Turf | 8 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.14 | 121 | 104.9 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 0.14 | 0.33 | 1 | 0.87 |
Inner Turf | 8 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.1 | 386 | 139.95 | 23 | 38 | 39 | 0.06 | 0.26 | 0.58 | 0.36 |
Inner Turf | 8 | 8: more than 10 | 0.07 | 88 | 3.9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0.01 | 0.1 | 0.15 | 0.04 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Inner Turf | 8.5 | 1: lead | 0.11 | 126 | 259.35 | 33 | 11 | 14 | 0.26 | 0.46 | 2.41 | 2.06 |
Inner Turf | 8.5 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.11 | 36 | 26.8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.25 | 0.76 | 0.74 |
Inner Turf | 8.5 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.12 | 160 | 115.1 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 0.11 | 0.36 | 0.91 | 0.72 |
Inner Turf | 8.5 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.13 | 134 | 123.45 | 24 | 16 | 14 | 0.18 | 0.4 | 1.37 | 0.92 |
Inner Turf | 8.5 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.13 | 124 | 94 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 0.11 | 0.38 | 0.88 | 0.76 |
Inner Turf | 8.5 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.1 | 121 | 28.25 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 0.05 | 0.28 | 0.49 | 0.23 |
Inner Turf | 8.5 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.1 | 388 | 159.85 | 24 | 37 | 40 | 0.06 | 0.26 | 0.65 | 0.41 |
Inner Turf | 8.5 | 8: more than 10 | 0.08 | 96 | 34 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0.03 | 0.12 | 0.4 | 0.35 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Inner Turf | 9 | 1: lead | 0.13 | 15 | 8.45 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.27 | 1.06 | 0.56 |
Inner Turf | 9 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.17 | 8 | 1.35 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.38 | 0.74 | 0.17 |
Inner Turf | 9 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.13 | 24 | 13.65 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0.12 | 0.38 | 0.99 | 0.57 |
Inner Turf | 9 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.11 | 13 | 63 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.23 | 0.46 | 2.01 | 4.85 |
Inner Turf | 9 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.13 | 12 | 9.75 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 0.42 | 1.33 | 0.81 |
Inner Turf | 9 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.16 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 |
Inner Turf | 9 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.08 | 33 | 40.1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0.09 | 0.39 | 1.13 | 1.22 |
Inner Turf | 9 | 8: more than 10 | 0.08 | 14 | 2.5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.21 | 0.85 | 0.18 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Inner Turf | 11 | 1: lead | 0.12 | 38 | 39.65 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 0.11 | 0.53 | 0.91 | 1.04 |
Inner Turf | 11 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.15 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 |
Inner Turf | 11 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.14 | 48 | 27.65 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.25 | 0.74 | 0.58 |
Inner Turf | 11 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.15 | 33 | 35.05 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0.24 | 0.48 | 1.59 | 1.06 |
Inner Turf | 11 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.14 | 32 | 6.4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 0.09 | 0.47 | 0.69 | 0.2 |
Inner Turf | 11 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.12 | 31 | 16.3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0.06 | 0.32 | 0.54 | 0.53 |
Inner Turf | 11 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.13 | 86 | 89.7 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 0.19 | 0.41 | 1.45 | 1.04 |
Inner Turf | 11 | 8: more than 10 | 0.1 | 24 | 4.1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.04 | 0.21 | 0.43 | 0.17 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Inner Turf | 12 | 1: lead | 0.09 | 14 | 22.3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.36 | 1.55 | 1.59 |
Inner Turf | 12 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 |
Inner Turf | 12 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.16 | 19 | 12.5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.26 | 0.64 | 0.66 |
Inner Turf | 12 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.15 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 |
Inner Turf | 12 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.18 | 11 | 24.2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.36 | 0.64 | 2 | 2.2 |
Inner Turf | 12 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.1 | 15 | 13.5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.4 | 1.35 | 0.9 |
Inner Turf | 12 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.13 | 32 | 16.65 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0.12 | 0.44 | 0.96 | 0.52 |
Inner Turf | 12 | 8: more than 10 | 0.14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Turf | 5.5 | 1: lead | 0.15 | 225 | 335.55 | 58 | 26 | 27 | 0.26 | 0.49 | 1.67 | 1.49 |
Turf | 5.5 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.14 | 133 | 93.75 | 16 | 15 | 28 | 0.12 | 0.44 | 0.86 | 0.7 |
Turf | 5.5 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.14 | 371 | 311.8 | 51 | 35 | 50 | 0.14 | 0.37 | 0.99 | 0.84 |
Turf | 5.5 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.12 | 249 | 225.35 | 32 | 36 | 28 | 0.13 | 0.39 | 1.06 | 0.91 |
Turf | 5.5 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.12 | 221 | 192.6 | 20 | 38 | 25 | 0.09 | 0.38 | 0.76 | 0.87 |
Turf | 5.5 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.11 | 174 | 89.05 | 14 | 21 | 16 | 0.08 | 0.29 | 0.74 | 0.51 |
Turf | 5.5 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.09 | 484 | 241.05 | 30 | 46 | 48 | 0.06 | 0.26 | 0.71 | 0.5 |
Turf | 5.5 | 8: more than 10 | 0.06 | 87 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.1 | 0.41 | 0.15 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Turf | 8.5 | 1: lead | 0.12 | 115 | 99.85 | 12 | 17 | 12 | 0.1 | 0.36 | 0.89 | 0.87 |
Turf | 8.5 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.09 | 25 | 25.4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.28 | 0.85 | 1.02 |
Turf | 8.5 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.12 | 167 | 123.75 | 24 | 21 | 20 | 0.14 | 0.39 | 1.18 | 0.74 |
Turf | 8.5 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.13 | 114 | 80.4 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 0.12 | 0.32 | 0.98 | 0.71 |
Turf | 8.5 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.11 | 114 | 103.9 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 0.09 | 0.37 | 0.76 | 0.91 |
Turf | 8.5 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.11 | 110 | 39.45 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 0.07 | 0.35 | 0.64 | 0.36 |
Turf | 8.5 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.11 | 333 | 248 | 40 | 36 | 28 | 0.12 | 0.31 | 1.12 | 0.74 |
Turf | 8.5 | 8: more than 10 | 0.08 | 70 | 43.8 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0.06 | 0.14 | 0.73 | 0.63 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Turf | 9 | 1: lead | 0.08 | 23 | 43.65 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0.13 | 0.35 | 1.55 | 1.9 |
Turf | 9 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Turf | 9 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.11 | 26 | 7.95 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0.08 | 0.35 | 0.72 | 0.31 |
Turf | 9 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.11 | 25 | 8.05 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.28 | 1.08 | 0.32 |
Turf | 9 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.12 | 22 | 29.35 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0.18 | 0.45 | 1.56 | 1.33 |
Turf | 9 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.15 | 24 | 10.6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.42 | 1.11 | 0.44 |
Turf | 9 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.13 | 56 | 35.15 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 0.11 | 0.41 | 0.82 | 0.63 |
Turf | 9 | 8: more than 10 | 0.09 | 17 | 18.7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.67 | 1.1 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Turf | 9.5 | 1: lead | 0.12 | 26 | 32 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.42 | 0.65 | 1.23 |
Turf | 9.5 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.05 | 8 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.38 | 2.63 | 4 |
Turf | 9.5 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.12 | 43 | 20.3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0.12 | 0.28 | 0.98 | 0.47 |
Turf | 9.5 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.14 | 30 | 9.55 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0.1 | 0.33 | 0.74 | 0.32 |
Turf | 9.5 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.12 | 22 | 26.55 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.36 | 1.51 | 1.21 |
Turf | 9.5 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.09 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.3 | 0.96 | 0.39 |
Turf | 9.5 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.11 | 65 | 52.85 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 0.12 | 0.32 | 1.08 | 0.81 |
Turf | 9.5 | 8: more than 10 | 0.09 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
COURSE | RACE_FURLONGS_x | early_style_two | EXPECTED_WINS | MOUNTS | PAYOUT | WINS | PLACES | SHOWS | WIN_PCT | ITM_PCT | IMPACT_VALUE | ROI |
---|
Turf | 13 | 1: lead | 0.21 | 4 | 3.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1.19 | 0.82 |
Turf | 13 | 2: 0 to 1 length off | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Turf | 13 | 3: 1 to 2 lengths off | 0.03 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 |
Turf | 13 | 4: 2 to 3 lengths off | 0.24 | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.41 | 0.57 |
Turf | 13 | 5: 3 to 4 lengths off | 0.12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Turf | 13 | 6: 4 to 5 lengths off | 0.19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 |
Turf | 13 | 7: 5 to 10 lengths off | 0.12 | 8 | 4.25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.25 | 1.03 | 0.53 |
Turf | 13 | 8: more than 10 | 0.19 | 2 | 5.3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.61 | 2.65 |