At ThoroPACE™, we looked at runners meeting the following criteria at bullring tracks (like CT & DED)
• exiting a 2 turn sprint with a faster than average early pace
• raced within 2 lengths of the lead at the first call
• returns to race at the same track & distance within 60 days
• moving at least 4 post positions closer to the rail in the return race
Overall, we identified 422 runners meeting these criteria during the past 8 years. The win rate was 23% and the $2 win ROI was $2.52.
When the ThoroPACE™ pace projection was positive (hotter than normal), the $2 win ROI dropped to $2.05.
When the ThoroPACE™ pace projection was negative (colder than normal), the $2 win ROI increased to $2.80.
Runners meeting these criteria are listed on the ThoroPACE™ Change of Pace report. These reports are being offered free of change through 11/30/2026. If you’d like to see them, simply email “Change of Pace” to info@thoropace.com.
If you purchase a monthly subscription (beginning 12/01/2026), use promo code “COP50″ at checkout prior to 11/30/2026 and pay just $25 rather than $50 monthly for the next 12 months. You may cancel at any time.
