Woodbine Spot Plays 07/08/23 By Jackson Muniz

Race 2: #5 Speedy Bubbles 10-1

Speed play in today’s second race with a filly that will try to take them all the way in #5 Speedy Bubbles. She’s shown a lot of early pace in both career starts, but not a lot of stick. I actually liked her debut a lot last October. She was a big longshot going six and a half furlongs and dueled between horses throughout the race before tiring in the stretch. I’ve always believed dueling between rivals is so difficult on horses because they’re taking so much more pressure than if they were alone or even in a two-horse duel. It almost always results in a poor performance and I usually am willing to completely toss the race. She did earn an okay figure that day and returned last month where she was bet in half from the morning line, but had a similar result with a speed and fade performance. She’s putting races together for the first time and has been working faster than usual in preparation for today’s race. She has more upside than most of her rivals as a lightly raced three year old and on paper she’s the clear speed of the field. Theft job?

Race 8: #12 Mosler’s Image 10-1

A brutal post position for my top choice in today’s eighth race, but fortunately I would imagine she’ll be overlooked from out here and will drift up from this morning line so we should get well-compensated if she’s able to work out a trip. On speed figures this mare is right up there with the favorites and is certainly capable of posting a mild upset on her best day. She showed last time she belonged at this class level when she finished a decent fifth despite a bad trip. She leaped at the start which cost her a couple of lengths early, bided her time towards the back until they hit the top of the stretch, then had to wait behind horses for another furlong or so. She finally got clear with 300 yards to go and came with her run, took on a bump from another rival that was finishing well, and closed the gap to be beaten just over a length. Really solid effort considering she’s usually within a couple lengths of the leaders and that was probably a shorter trip than she prefers. I like that she shows up nearly every time, she’s hit the board in seven of her last nine two-turn turf races and one of those bad performances was with a brutal trip. Again, I think she fits really well here, it’s just a matter of working out a decent trip. Solid win value at anything over 7-1, and definitely a horse to key underneath in exotics at 10-1 or higher. 

Race 10: #4 Strega 6-1

Another pace play in today’s 10th race as on paper #4 Strega is the clear speed of the field. Obviously the layoff is a bit of a concern, but Attard is 28% off this long layoff and this filly has run well fresh in the past so you would think she’ll be ready to go. She kept good company last year and earned speed figures that give her a shot against these. If you toss her turf races, this filly’s form looks really solid and she shows up every single time over the synthetic. Speed gets bet, especially potential lone speed, so I don’t think you’ll get this price, but anything over 7/2 would be appealing to me.

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