Analysis & Selections By: Dean Keppler @Keppskorner
BEST BET: 5-Crimson Rose (Race #2)
Race #1: 9-Darling Donna showed speed and weakened in most recent local start but earned an above Beyer par number for this class level. The 3-year-old filly drops again and should be ready to break through the Maiden ranks making her 3rd start off the layoff. She gets in light again with 7lb. bug aboard. Beaten favorite 2-Golden Halo has been freshened for this and has run figures that would compete here. 5-Noisey Burglar showed speed and tired on July 3 debut try and now drops another notch and adds Lasix for start number two. Some improvement is likely.
Race #2: 5-Crimson Rose ships in from Churchill off the claim and this jockey/trainer combo have done well with new acquisitions including winning with recent purchase Jewelofakid Thursday afternoon. This filly comes in off a sharp second and makes her 2nd start off the long layoff. She’s had 4 drills since that last start when just missing by a head. 2-So It Would Seem has been a popular commodity at the claiming box and now is finally broken through those ranks and faces winners off smashing June 10 romp. She might be good enough to take next step for new conditioner John Sadler who takes her on the re-claim. 4-M Is For Magic is an 0 for 15 Maiden facing winners but was 2nd at this level in most recent start and now moves back to the main track. She’s worked swiftly over the Del Mar dirt the past 5 weeks.
Race #3: 1-Park City finished a strong 2nd in June 10 sprint turf debut in a race that’s since produced a pair of next-out winners. This Dan Blacker-trained colt by Street Sense stretches out this afternoon and should be a handful with any normal second-out improvement. 3-Crypto Man debuts for trainer Simon Callaghan and attracts leading rider Juan Hernandez for today’s unveiling. This 2-year-old colt is by Funtastic who was a Grade 1 winner routing on grass. 10-Zookeeper comes out of the same race as top choice where she finished a decent game third. Like the top selection, she should flourish with today’s additional footing.
Race #4: 7-Magnificient Ride has improved dramatically in last two starts including earning a field’s best last-out 79 Beyer when just missing by a nose June 26. 2-Leyas Candy was a beaten favorite disappointment in last but two-back finished a strong 2nd with solid figure for trainer Mark Glatt in her debut effort. Hernandez sticks. 1-Lemon Sushi adds blinkers; goes turf to dirt and finished on par for this level with 75 main track Beyer two-back. 5-Thorne House ran a solid 2nd after battling on the front end on June 5 debut but must avoid a potential bounce this afternoon.
Race #5: The speed of the speed is class dropping 1-Armagnac who makes his grass debut today for trainer Bob Baffert. His sire Quality Road gets 13% turf route runners, and he has turf pedigree on the dam side. He’ll likely be on the engine from today’s cozy rail draw. Multiple stakes winner 4-Sumter is certainly the most accomplished grass horse in here winning three straight and finishing 2nd in his other two turf attempts for trainer Richard Mandella. The 3-year-old colt comes off a mini-freshening; has trained well and has shown an affinity for this turf course. 5-Cabo Spirit is multiple graded stakes placed and returns as a first-time gelding for trainer George Papaprodromou. The 3-year-old has two nice grass drills locally and has the versatility to adjust to various pace scenarios. This barn is sending out all live runners thus far.
Race #6: It’s extremely difficult to separate the two Baffert juvenile filly first time starters in here. 8-Doinitthehardway is by Street Sense who is slightly better with his 2-year-old debut prodigy. This gal brings in a series of barn’s typical fast drills and attracts Hernandez for unveiling. The other Baffert firster 7-Fast and Shiny is a Bernardini filly who also comes in with a flashy worktab. This jockey/trainer combo scored with good looking firster Havnameltdown July 24 with an 80 Beyer. 10-Getthemoney is by multiple Breeders’ Cup Sprint winner Midnight Lute and debuts for trainer Brian Koriner who is no stranger to havening juveniles fire fresh off the bench. 1-Candy Carmel holds the experience edge that most of these don’t and had a legitimate troubled line excuse on July 4 debut.
Race #7: Blinkers off and first time gelding 5-Worse Read Sanchez could be the beneficiary of a projected swift early pace this afternoon for trainer Doug O’Neill. He’s lost 7 straight but appears well-spotted today to hopefully turn the corner and climb back into the winner’s circle. 1-Bud Knight goes dirt to turf and despite being 0 for 7 on the Del Mar lawn this gelding’s one mile turf finishes at Santa Anita two and three-back fit well here. 2-Big Hand has some Ok turf pedigree to potentially handle today’s surface switch and stretch-out for trainer Tim Yakteen. This barn is, however, 3 for 50 going dirt to turf the past 5 years. So, demand a juicy price before taking the plunge.
Race #8: 5-Queen of Thorns has regrouped since losing rider in March 27 Sunland Park Oaks and prior two efforts were very sharp including a runaway Maiden win and 3rd in the Grade 3 Las Virgenes. The filly gets Lasix back on and lands hot rider. 10-Cinnamon Cat was sharp in 6-furlong debut victory and should stretch out nicely with her sire being multiple Grade 1 winner Pioneerof the Nile. This filly is projected to show more speed today. 1-Dream Princess has been plagued by layoff lines but goes turf to dirt today and is reunited with winning rider for trainer John Sadler.
Race #9: 1-Dancing Dana has the best TimeformUS late pace figure in this field which should serve her well based on today’s hotly contested projected race flow. She cuts back to 5 furlongs and should be motoring home late. 6-Iconic Sky has decent speed; cuts back to 5 furlongs and barn is off to a fast start at this meet. 10-Big Treat adds Lasix and blinkers today but has not been seen since runaway Maiden win last April. Something evidently went amiss but she moves to grass this afternoon and shows a huge 4-furlong gate drill in :47 flat in preparation for this.
Race #10: 7-Sell the Dream trounced Maidens on grass and all breeding suggests she should be even better over dirt. Trainer Brian Koriner typically does much better with his 2nd time starters (7 for 23/30%) so this gal packs a lot of raw natural talent. 5-Fumano’s Girl just missed against males in the Everett Nevin Stakes at Pleasanton in most recent start July 9 and has a strong late kick that may be flattered again with a contested early pace. 1-Love U Mean It gets obvious class test today but was a decent Maiden winner in last and is on the improve for Solis.
Race #11: The speedster 10-Via Egnatia is reunited with winning rider this afternoon and is a multiple winner over this racetrack and mile distance. The veteran 8-year-old gelding just missed at this level two-back earning the Beyer par (84) for this class level. 11-Move Over was a sharp winner here last November at today’s same conditions and has run par or better for this level on multiple occasions. He’s been training smartly off the mini freshening. 5-East Rand drops back down to winning level and his Beyer figures are moving in the right direction for trainer Leonard Powell. The gelding has run well over this turf course.