All statistics unless stated other wise are situation specific. Example Last 5 years 1st Time Starter /MSW / Turf / Route = %
Any mention of Figures refers to my personal figures unless stated otherwise.
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I will be covering the Early Pick 5 in detail, and quick thoughts on rest of card.
You can find John Pinder’s work on the late Pick 5 under the Gulfstream Park menu as well here at Inthemoneypodcast.com
Early Pick 5 – Will update Main Ticket post scratches
R1 – 2 6 7 B – 1 5
R2 – 1 (Will be a single on my main ticket) B – 2 4
R3 – 2 3
R4 – 4 6 7 B – 1 C – 2 3 8
R5 – 9 11 B – 2 7
Main Ticket .50 = $30
R1 – 1 2 6 5 7
R2 – 1 (X2 Increment) Will have a second ticket using the 2 4 here for less.
R3 – 2 3
R4 – 4 6 7
R5 – 9 11
Race 1
A LINE
2 Eastern Extension was claimed Jan of 2024 but did not return to the races for a year which I am sure was not the plan. Irad was up for the comeback and this gelding ran very well over the tapeta while taking advantage of the waiver condition. Simply may have just been a tune up.
6 Sticky McShnickens is the horse to beat in my opinion after a nice effort when sprinting on the turf for the first time.
7 Lamcaro has the best overall resume dating back to the spring and the effort on Dec 13th was better than looks on paper, but the question is what happened last time when he tired at the 16th pole and was no match late.
B Line – 1 5
Race 2 is where I will try to shorten my ticket, but not one I am looking to crush in the win pool.
Exacta – 1 over 2, 4
A – 1 Jerry’s Turn is taking a big drop in class running for his lowest level to date but the big difference is six of his last seven races have been versus time restricted company and not gets to face straight non 3L’s. Last time was completely outclassed spending the race chasing and two back I though was best at 62-1!! missing the break then coming through traffic late.
B LINE
2 Las Olas shows up with an honest effort nearly every time and could simply trip out from the inside.
4 Remerton is another that has put in solid efforts repeatedly then suddenly stepped it up in Nov rattling off his 3 best races to date. Issue is he was hard ridden early last time not looking as he did previously and then was a vet scratch Jan. 31st and does not show an official work since Dec 7th.
Race 3 we are back to the 12.5 maiden claimers on the dirt which always seem to produce chaos but I will keep it narrow.
A LINE
2 High Prince has 3 respectable efforts at this level over the tapeta and now will swap to the dirt for the first time. I have a couple old work notes form this one from June where he handled the dirt just fine.
3 Right Karma will go off at a short price after coming off an eighteen month layoff where he went off favored. I was not overly impressed that day being hard ridden early but at this level I suppose I should be a bit more forgiving.
Race 4 I found to be the most difficult race of the sequence and can make a case for each one of these runners.
A LINE
4 Red Candy Apple was dreadful last time when he all but stopped but the two back effort was quick enough to consider and I like the weight break today.
5 Iron Sword obviously is expected to improve making his second start after going off favored and folding like a cheap paper towel. D’Angelo is 3 for 18 in this spot.
6 Mega Don came off the bench last time with Irad up and just ran one paced around track with no excuses. Expecting a move forward here.
7 Attestation I have on top. I thought the Jan 3rd effort was respectable splitting horses late then tried routing with another decent effort. Lack of pace is a concern but most in here look to struggle to even get the 5 furlongs.
Everyone else is trying something new for the first time and when it comes to low level maiden that is dangerous.
Race 5
A LINE I want the two Saffie Runners
9 La Cantera’s first 3 starts were washed off the grass and last time when finally got her surface I thought she was impressive with plenty in the tank late. My figure is much higher than the industry fig.
11 Bellavinino is obvious no paper with nothing hidden and after being stuck wide her last 3 races Irad gets back aboard which is an upgrade.
B LINE
2 Cheese I like at a price last time coming off the maiden win and she did not run a step. So maybe she simply not what I thought she might be.
7 Nashville Slew took a step forward last time with the addition of lasix and now gets back to the grass for a small barn that should keep the price attractive.
