All statistics unless stated other wise are situation specific. Example Last 5 years 1st Time Starter /MSW / Turf / Route = %
Any mention of Figures refers to my personal figures unless stated otherwise.
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I will be covering the Early Pick 5 in detail, and quick thoughts on rest of card.
You can find John Pinder’s work on the late Pick 5 under the Gulfstream Park menu as well here at Inthemoneypodcast.com
Early Pick 5 If you read my stuff often you have likely noticed I have no issue skipping a sequence and that is likely what will happen here. I would have no idea how to make a morning line correctly but if I did these seem to be the type of races that would drive me crazy.
Will Update Post Scratches
I will put in a ticket with the 3 singles and using the B’s in race 2. But pure action play as likely would be better off playing the 3 singles in win bets.
R1 – 3
R2 – 4 9 B – 1 3 8
R3 – 3
R4 – 1 2 7 8
R5 – 7
Race 1 starts off the sequence with an open $6250 claimers and only two runners have gotten their picture made once past the non three condition. There has been so many days this meet I found myself in this spot with the early Pick 5. My top pick is likely going to take money and push me to a Pick 4 starting in Race 2.
LONE A – 3 Go Big Green is no doubt the class of the field as she has the best figures and company kept but in 29 starts she has not ran on the dirt a single time. Hard to have confidence but I can pick holes in every horse in here. So it’s one or all for me.
Race 2 does not get much easier with a field of similar one pace type runners with no one standing out.
A LINE – WIN BET 4 Goodbetterbest assuming price holds.
4 Goodbetterbest faced lessor last time and got a great trip but was impressive once she got room to run. She is two for three in turf routes here at Gulfstream Park, she has won on the lead, pressing, and stalking. She was claimed last time which leaves a bit of a question mark but I still will have her on top making her the old “If you made me pick just one”
9 Boston Rose I am tossing the tapeta effort last when she had no excuse, toss the two back NO CONTEST, 4 prior to that came off the grass, etc. Shorter version is I want to see her get a clean trip on the grass.
B LINE – These three were demoted to the B line simply fading the mutual race on Dec. 27th due to strategy in another wide open race.
1 Sarah’s Dream is one of four who ran Dec 27th and was no match for the ones who finished ahead of her but that was off a slight break in which she had won four straight prior.
3 Fantasy Performer gave an honest effort last time on the tapeta but my main focus is once again on the Dec 27th race that her and Escape Room were bobbing for second at the wire.
8 Escape Room has showed up with solid effort her last six races. ( See the 3)
Other –
6 Tinki Abarrio is a bit interesting. Wilkes who rarely drops a tag on a runner decided to claim her but then washed off grass last time. If spreading I would include this one as well.
Race 3
LONE A – 3 Bashful Daisy will make her racing debut as a 5 year old for Saffie who is 26% in this spot the last 5 years. She was originally on the work tab at Saratoga in 2023 but never made the entry box. She had a couple works with Ekati King this winter I was able to watch with nothing negative to note did things easy. Jan. 11th she broke slowest of three then easily ran inside of mates pulling clear of recent winner St. Olaf Rose. Saffie would have no issue running her for a tag so an educated guess he does not want to loose her.
Others
5 Wiffletree Serry for Yates who has excellent numbers in this spot and Vasquez is his go to rider. No work information to be found.
6 Speranzosa had a big work Jan. 19th under a snug hold the entire way and was a handful on the backside trying to pull her up.
Race 4 Continues the difficulties of having too many A’s and forcing something which rarely works out. Nothing hidden about these runners so no need to go into great detail.
A LINE
1 Come Dream With Me – I will include on the A LINE but facing winners for the first time and looks to be over bet.
2 Mohay Please was a vet scratch Feb 14th so first off lets see if he runs today. Took the blinkers off last at Tampa and took a big step forward.
7 Golden Sombrero was on the improve last fall before being sent for some rest while ending the year on not one but two voided claims yet still remains on my A Line. So maybe I am way off base with this one.
8 Go Billy Go dropped to this level last time after facing much tougher prior. If I have look past the last effort his figures are tops in the field.
B LINE – 3 5 6
Race 5
LONE A – 7 Franks Mimi I am going to try this one again today in a group that I found difficult to separate. He is tactical enough to go the lead or sit right off with the other potential speed in here possibly having distance limitations. Crichton is 29% first off the claim in tapeta routes the last 5 years. The only negative is the gap between races and did not get an official work recorded until a month after the claim.
Once I get past my top selection I make a case for nearly every other runner in the field.
Daily Double
R6 – 2
R7 – 6
Race 6 – 2 Spirited Boss will route for the first time and has showed no signs that she cannot handle the distance.
Race 7 – 6 Mywifeknowsitall looks to win her third consecutive race, just maybe they catch her today but I will take the short price.
VERTICALS
Ex – 6 Over 2,3
Tri – 6 Over 2,3, Over 1 2 3 4 This might be the spot to have a backup 2,3 over 6 over 1 2 3 4
Race 8 and 9 I have no strong opinion
