Los Alamitos Race Course (Saturday-6/25/22)

Analysis & Selections By: Dean Keppler @Keppskorner

BEST BET: 5-Wall Street Trader (Race #4)

Race #1: 7-Spring Spinning gets a complete makeover this afternoon for the O’Neill barn. The 3-year-old filly by Hard Spun goes turf to dirt; adds blinkers and takes a substantial class drop off even 5th place finish nearly 3 weeks ago. A sharp 5-furlong gate drill presumably with new equipment in place adds to the appeal. 2-Your Ringer removes the blinkers today and goes 2nd time Lasix for Sadler after a disappointing effort as the odds-on choice May 14. The 3-year-old filly makes 2nd start off the extended layoff; shows a bullet 4-furlong drill since that last unsatisfactory try and cuts her claiming tag in half. An effort resembling her encouraging 2nd place Del Mar debut finish may be forthcoming. 4-Boisterously Irish hasn’t shown the ability in last pair like she did in initial outing back in March when finishing a decent 2nd but goes 2nd off the claim today for trainer Jorge Periban. This barn is 3 for 6 (50%) with a $3.46 ROI with this claiming angle from limited sample.

Selections: 7-2-4

Race #2: 1-Settecento moves back to dirt on the class drop making 2nd start off the claim. This 4-year-old gelding removes the blinkers today and has already proven he can handle today’s mile. He should be able to save a ton of ground from the rail and come running late.  Recent Maiden winner 6-Vetoed stretches out off the claim for trainer George Papaprodromou who is 6 for 17 (35%) the past 2 years with new barn purchases. 5-Heaven’s Music took 13 tries to break through the Maiden ranks with recent win at this mile trip in last start May 27. The gelding appears well-placed here by his connections if he can string two good efforts together.

Selections: 1-6-5

Race #3: This is a tricky $10,000 claiming sprint with several different directions one can go. This handicapper will try 3-Swirling who has good gate speed; gets in light and is proven over this racetrack. 7-Flatterwithjewels comes off a career best Beyer (84) and has a win at the distance. 4-Sparkling Gem is unproven at the distance but has run consistently well over this oval and was a winner at the $10k claiming level two-back.

Selections: 3-7-4

Race #4: 5-Wall Street Trader makes 2nd start off the mini-freshening for trainer John Sadler after flashing good speed and tiring at this level May 29. The gelding shows two sharp a.m. drills since that effort including a “best of 75” bullet drill in :47 handily June 12. He gets in light with 10lb. bug boy taking over today and should be long gone in here on the stretch-out. 6-Whiskey Vision has had several chances to break through the Maiden ranks and this is career start number 15 this afternoon. Having said that… this gelding has consistently run Beyer numbers that are more than competitive for this group. 3-Mr Freebie is bred to handle a route of ground and takes a sizable class plunge.

Selections: 5-6-3

Race #5: In a race that should favor horses on or near the lead 3-Lucky Ryan Seven gets the nod. The 5-year-old gelding makes his 2nd start off the layoff today and when last seen at this class level and distance was a good pressing trip 2nd with this top Los Al pilot. His lone win came with jockey T J Pereira as well. 2-Harper’s Gem stretches out off a May 14 victory at 18/1 over next-out winner Vermeer. 6-Glenroy has been sidelined for nearly a year but has trained steadily for return try and seems appropriately placed by connections.

Selections: 3-2-6

Race #6: 1-Amadmadworld has not shown much against better over at Santa Anita but has the rail and speed on the class drop. Trainer Peter Miller typically does well with most of his Los Al starters.  5-Forgotten Vows was claimed off a sharp 2nd place finish at Golden Gate and is aggressively moved up in class for top claiming barn. Wong is 5 for 13 (38%) with $3.81 ROI with first off the claim runners at Los Al. 2-Weegee deserves another chance at this reduced level after a wide trip 4th going 7 furlongs on May 6. The blinkers come off today and gets key rider switch.

Selections: 1-5-2

Race #7: 1-Quagmire Magic is by multiple G1 winner Good Magic who is off to a superb start as a freshman sire with multiple wins from limited starts. Miller clicks at close to 30% with Maiden Claiming first time starters at this oval. 2-Hot Memories gets off the rail and holds the experience edge over several of these with two starts at Santa Anita against straight Maiden Special Weight types. A BIG chance on the class drop making the all-important 3rd career start. 3-Codis Breaker by multiple G1 winner Honor Code comes in off some snappy a.m. drills for trainer Luis Mendez. This barn is, however, 0 for 12 at Los Al with first time starters.

Selections: 1-2-3

Race #8: 1-Mongolian Panther finished an even 4th off the extended layoff and has every right to move forward off that effort. This 6-year-old mare was a solid Maiden winner at this track last September and turned in an eye-catching 3-furlong blowout in :34.3 June 20. This mare is 2 for 2 at 6 furlongs as well. The speedy 3-Stressed seeks back-to-back wins going turf to dirt for new barn after being snagged for $50k May 14. Trainer Peter Eurton doesn’t have great success with new acquisitions, but this 4-year-old filly comes into today’s event in good form and looks to be the speed of the speed. 2-Saturday Heist should offer decent value in here off a pair of subpar performances that’s likely to cloud her true form and ability. The filly draws inside; has a versatile running style and is proven off the layoff as evidenced by her win last fall. She’s also 3 for 4 at 6 furlongs and has a win over the track.

Selections: 1-3-2

Race #9: 4-Loud Mouth goes turf to dirt for Sadler which is a high percentage move for this barn and is today’s likely pacesetter. This 9-time winner is proven over this distance and track and should be tough to reel in with an alert break.  2-Desmond Doss and Fashionably Fast lock horns again after finishing one-two in the Thor’s Echo May 28. Doss won this event last year with a stalking trip and comes off a sharp win off a 7-month layoff where he earned a career best Beyer speed figure (91). 5-Fashionably Fast has finished in front of the second choice so reversing their last decision is not an impossible task for this veteran gelding who has 9 wins from 30 career starts. He’s reunited with winning rider in what’s likely to come down to who gets the best trip in this compact field.

Selections: 4-2-5

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