Analysis & Selections By: Dean Keppler @Keppskorner
BEST BET: 2-Luck’s Royal Flush (Race #8)
Race #1: 4-Bossy Soul defeated a pair of the same mares she meets again today with runner-up finish 15 days ago and now drops below claiming tag price from two-back. Claiming giant Jonathan Wong consistently clicks about 30% with his 2nd off the claim runners and this filly has had good prior success over this oval. 6-Jamminjl drops in class off back-to-back ITM finishes over at Santa Anita and is a multiple winner over this racetrack. 1-Zahra is only 2 for 38 lifetime but has never been offered this cheaply and has run par for this class level on multiple occasions. She moves inside to the rail and projects to be running on late with a ground-saving trip.
Race #2: 1-Magnificent Ride is the most experienced Maiden in the field with 5 starts and comes off a career and field best Beyer (67). The 3-year-old gelding has speed and draws the rail. 4-Cribbage Board is by prolific win-early sire Stanford who gets a strong 21% with his debut prodigy. This gelding has some snappy drills over at Santa Anita in preparation for this including a “best of 55” in :47 from the gate June 4. 7-Six Feet moves back up to face straight Maiden Special Weight types after encouraging runner-up finish in debut. The 3-year-old gelding by multiple G1 winner Dad’s Caps showed decent pressing speed in debut and is nicely drawn outside.
Race #3: 2-Liar Liar makes the all-important 3rd career start today after running par for this class level in both local Santa Anita starts last month. The 5-year-old Maiden showed improved speed when adding Lasix as the beaten favorite in last and looks to have found a weak field she can handle on the cutback. 3-Ring General makes his initial try on dirt this afternoon and takes a sizable class plunge for conditioner Bob Hess. Those two factors alone make him a significant threat against this group. 5-Adriatic has been beaten a combined 90 lengths in 5 career starts but has shown speed and adds blinkers today. That may be enough to grab a part of the vertical exotics.
Race #4: The veteran 8-year-old gelding 6-Storminside did not show his typical early gate speed after a troubled trip when bumped and crowded early on against a trio of the same runners he faces this afternoon. The 12-time winner makes his 2nd start off the mini-freshening today and first off the claim for trainer Steve Knapp who is 5 for 14 (36%) the past 4 years at Los Al with new barn purchases. 5-Black Storm is a multiple winner over the track and distance and should appreciate going from 7 to 5 ½ furlongs. He was a sharp winner against better when last seen at this distance on this surface and is clearly the one to beat. 7-Alleva comes into today with 3 consecutive runner-up finishes and has proven to be very competitive at this $10k claiming tag level.
Race #5: 1-Dorita’s Happy finished evenly when facing winners for the first time in most recent start but two back earned a (64) Beyer speed figure when breaking Maiden at Santa Anita going 6 ½ furlongs. That’s par for this $16k N2 level and a similar effort makes her a BIG threat against this suspect group of fillies and mares. 2-Keep Your Coil goes turf to dirt on the class drop and is a winner over this racetrack. 5-Suezaaana pressed the pace before fading at long odds in most recent start June 3 and drops in class today. The 6-year-old mare will likely take these as far as she can on the lead.
Race #6: A beaten favorite in last pair 1-Busy Paynter has speed and the rail and goes 2nd off the claim for trainer Milton Pineda. This barn is 10 for 31 (32%) with this claiming maneuver the past 2 years. 2-Chrome of Our Own has won two straight with Beyer figures that have increased with each subsequent start this year. The 4-year-old filly shows two decent drills since that last win May 20 and comes into today’s event in career best form. 3-Take a Leap has been a popular commodity at the claiming box the past couple months and comes off an excusable troubled trip 6th in most recent start when pinched at the break and clipping heels. The 9-time winning mare has worked well for new connections since that last effort.
Race #7: 3-Synthesis has won two straight in gritty fashion; is proven over this racecourse and goes first off the claim for trainer George Papaprodromou. This barn is 6 for 17 (35%) with $2.64 ROI the past 2 years with new acquisitions. His versatile running style adds to the appeal. 2-Secret Touch is a true mile specialist with 7 wins from 17 starts and has won 2 of his last 3 for trainer Bob Hess. The veteran gelding has been freshened for this. 1-Echosmith (Ire) is unproven over the main track dirt surface but draws the rail with speed and hails from winning barn.
Race #8: The speedy 2-Luck’s Royal Flush removes the blinkers today making first start off the claim for trainer Steve Miyadi. This conditioner has above average numbers with new barn purchases and this gelding just missed in game try June 12. The gelding gets in light with 10 lb. apprentice and should be tough to reel in with an alert break. 5-Self Taught comes off the mini-freshening for Hess and this 5-year-old gelding has run well over this racetrack in the past. He’s reunited with Maldonado who has two runner-up finishes when last seen aboard this gelding. 4-Mister Bold was visually impressive beating $20,000 claimers off the mini-freshening earning a very competitive (79) Beyer speed figure and looms a serious threat right back with any 2nd off the bench improvement on the class rise. It should be noted, however, that his recent winning rider lands on Self Taught.
Race #9: 3-Cocktail Princess is clearly the one to beat in Sunday’s nightcap off two runner-up finishes to start her career. She’s by multiple G1 winner Stay Thirsty and lays over this field as far as Beyer numbers go unless one of the first-time starters is something special and comes out running. The obvious knock of course is the very short price. 6-Rose Girl adds blinkers today for career start number two after battling the top choice June 3 and fading late while tiring. This filly has returned to drill 4 furlongs in :46.4 from the gate which was best of 53 at the distance. 1-She’s So Fancy deserves another chance after sluggish start in debut and is eligible to move forward in career start number two. She must negotiate the rail draw but is by win-early sire Stanford who as of this writing is 9 for 38 (23%) with 2-year-old first time starters according to DRF Formulator. If she can break and stay within striking distance she may be the beneficiary of a contested early pace.