Analysis & Selections By: Dean Keppler @Keppskorner
BEST BET: 4-Leggs Galore (Race #9)
Race #1: Beaten favorite 2-Cherubic Factor cuts back to a sprint and has run consistently well for this level on turf. 4-Cosmo is only 1 for 19 lifetime but makes first start off the Mike Puype claim and barn is 3 for 10 (30%) with a $3.02 ROI with new acquisitions at Santa Anita on grass. 1-Heartbreaker has not been seen since Maiden victory last March but has trained steadily for return effort and makes first start on turf for D’Amato.
Race #2: 4-Absolutely Zero is by multiple G1 winner Nyquist who gets 17% with his 2-year-old debut runners. This filly comes in with some snappy a.m. drills and this lucrative jockey/trainer combo are 6 for 20 (30%) with $3.73 ROI the past two years with debut runners. 5-Classymademoiselle is a first-time starter by prolific sire Malibu Moon and has trained smartly for debut try. Trainer Jorge Periban is only 2 for 24 with FTS at Santa Anita but both of those wins have had jockey Tyler Baze onboard. The other O’Neil filly 2-Funkhouser also has some sharp drills for unveiling.
Race #3: 1-Inch just missed in last with a (79) turf Beyer and a repeat of that try would overhaul this group of weak geldings. The obvious knock is the short price. 2-Like the Wind is lightly raced and showed promise with local grass Maiden score for Koriner last February. Improvement likely today making 2nd start off the layoff. 4-Majestic Wind has improving turf Beyer figures and is also making his 2nd start off the bench.
Race #4: Class dropping 1-Pioneering Papa holds a best Beyer edge in all three career starts but could potentially go off at extreme low odds of 1/5 or 1/9 today. 2-Tenth Street Don adds blinkers and drops in for a $100k tag today as well off two subpar performances. 5-Don’t Talk debuts for sharp barn and excellent win-early sire Violence.
Race #5: 5-Explosive goes sprint to route and owns the field’s best last-out grass Beyer (84). The 5-year-old gelding is a strong wire-to-wire threat this afternoon. 1-Johnny Podres is a grinder and 0 for 8 on the Santa Anita sod but stretches back out this afternoon and could find himself closer to the lead if aggressively sent. 2-Stotland has run three strong consecutive turf races with escalating Beyer figures. Obvious threat.
Race #6: 3-Zahra drops back down to level of strong win from two-back where she earned an above par winning Beyer number. The other Steve Knapp-trained mare 4-Zabava deserves another look at this reduced level despite subpar effort April 17. 5-Discrete Stevie B has speed and makes 2nd start off the bench today. This 6-year-old mare could take these a long way on the lead today.
Race #7: 4-Freedom Flyer makes first start for trainer Leonard Powell and is a multiple winner over this turf course. This 4-year-old filly attracts top grass rider for return effort and should be ready to fire a strong performance. The former Baffert-trained filly 3-Velvet Slippers has speed; comes off a freshening but is unproven on turf. She’s bred to handle the surface switch, however. A graded stakes winner 6-Counterparty Risk makes first start in the Phil D’Amato barn off the extended layoff.
Race #8: 1-Arthur Spooner finally broke through in career start number 11 when stretched back out in distance. The gelding looks well-spotted for a repeat effort. 3-Thrive a strong Maiden winner at this trip two-back. 6-Prince Magician drops in class and is eligible to improve making 2nd start off the layoff.
Race #9: The speedy and talented 4-Leggs Galore seeks third straight victory for trainer Phil D’Amato and drops out of the Grade 2 Buena Vista where she defeated multiple Grade 3 next-out winner Canoodling. The class of this field turning back to a sprint. 2-Hear My Prayer returns to her home base after disappointing try at Keeneland. The 5-time winner should be forwardly placed and is reunited with winning rider. 3-Bella D has rattled off back-to-back wins and could be the beneficiary of a pace meltdown.
Race #10: 8-Overdue looks primed for strong effort making second start off the layoff and stretching back out this afternoon. This 7-year-old gelding projects to be a potential wire-to-wire threat this afternoon. 1-Border Town a multiple winner over this track and turf course and goes first off the claim for trainer Simon Callaghan. The gelding also holds the field’s best last out Beyer (83). 3-Guildsman is unproven going long but makes the all-important 3rd start off the layoff with an improving Beyer pattern.