Breeders’ Cup Mile Preview – By Alex Sausville

Fanduel Mile presented by PDJF

By Alex Sausville

Lots of interesting form lines and tons of international representation as we head towards a very competitive rendition of the Breeders’ Cup Mile. This is definitely not the most star studded affair on the weekend, but it will most likely be the most wide open of the Saturday races. 

The track dimensions of Del Mar have been the main talking point over the past month or so with many of the European contingent. Many believe that there will be a steady advantage for the California horses making that sharp turn where the surf meets the turf and I don’t necessarily disagree. In the idea of a horse for course with one of the most consistent formlines you will find, I would side with Mo Forza. He comes in for Peter Miller off of four consecutive grade 2 wins, including back to back defeats of his top California rivals in Smooth Like Strait and Hit The Road. He’s continued to show his ability at Del Mar and seems to be in the best form to be able to compete against what should be considered a step up in class, however the east coast form has not been overly impressive and the european form is definitely not at the level we saw last season, even with Order Of Australia upsetting the field in that event. 

The main contender of the internationals will surely be Space Blues, a Godolphin sprinter who took out the GI Prix de la Foret, a race that is often targeted by the best 7 furlong sprinters in Europe due to it being the only Group One race of its kind. This son of Dubawi has won traveling outside Europe in the past, winning in Saudi Arabia earlier this year. Has a great late kick that has been on full display in his last two outings. Not sure if his closing style benefits him at Del Mar, but I think he will really relish the California surface and will be a deserving favorite when making the step up to the mile.

The one horse I want from the east coast rivals would be Blowout. A horse that shocked me when I saw her in person ahead of the First Lady at Keeneland with just how small she was. It’s no secret what her running style will be in this race and outside of Channel Cat(if he stays in the mile), there doesn’t look to be much other speed in this field. The Europeans for the most part should have trouble being up on the pace and will look to let a horse like Blowout go to the front, however she showed how well she can handle being on the lead and settling while being slightly contested. Not saying I want to see her get in a pace battle early, but if she gets the front she is a smart enough filly to handle anything that they can throw at her.

For more in-depth analysis and final answers from the ITM Team make sure to check out the exclusive content for our ITM Plus service.  For a better idea of what we have planned, check out this post.

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