All statistics unless stated other wise are situation specific. Example Last 5 years 1st Time Starter /MSW / Turf / Route = %
Any mention of Figures refers to my personal figures unless stated otherwise.
Expect typos and grammar errors! Time is of the essence and I do not even have the budget for intern around here.
Saturday Review
R1 – I had bet Lady Cha Cha at 10-1 and got a good trip simply was not good enough but had a shot turning for home. Then the race was declared a no contest and wagers refunded which was odd but in my favor! As normal Horse Racing Twitter went bananas…. Shocker..
R5 – The 3 had no excuse yesterday and the Cox Runner took early money then showed why… Definitely will make me look at these Cox maidens at Gulfstream Park closer after this one ran 1 second off Musfasa’s winning time.
R6 – Was brutal for me losing a nasty bob at wire where I singled the 10 due to cost of my turf pick 3 ticket… Getting beat by 1 of my other 3 A’s that paid $54 Ouch…
Turf Pick 3 I would have hit for $2600 if played all my choices, but I will never play tickets like that. If the first leg is a nose difference it would have paid a fraction of that.
R8 – Just A Care Watch the replay!! You do not see a turf sprinter at Gulfstream circle a good field and draw away.
R10 – White Abbario ran well in his prep and Mufasa I would be careful with after running well beating who? A route horse sprinting and a field of Optional Claimer / Starter Allowance horses.
R11 – As I mentioned I wanted to bet Aspen Dawn who did not win , but I had gotten alive to her as a single in the Pick 5 for $45. Arguably she was best being wide the entire way but her lack speed left her too much to do, but I created extra value and saved money since being alive in the Pick 5 for 8K I had no reason to bet her.
UPDATE — Scratches made a bit of a mess for myself losing 2 possible singles due to changes …And will not be shocked if another round of scratches come out late morning.
I will be bypassing the early Pick 5 getting my action in some mythical contests and some doubles looking at value, but hopefully something here will help with your decisions.
I will take the money I would have played in the early pick 5 and Win bet my top pick in the 6th.
SUNDAY !! Early races are a bit under whelming.
RACE 1 nothing clever or hidden trips. If you feel strongly about 1 horse here I would suggest singling and wheeling back with a Pick 4.
A LINE
1 High Prince is an obvious use with Irad, but the money will make no sense when many in here have ran better than this one.
3 Starship Magellan ran very well on debut for the level before taking a step backwards last time. Claimed last time, adds blinkers, but one negative is the time away claimed for 16K and 3 months later running for 12.5
5 My Victory Song has been working average which average should be good enough in this group.
6 Get Ready to Rock should take some money here after facing tougher in New York although well beaten. Tries the tapeta for the first time and catches a less than stellar group.
11 Starship Augusto should be the favorite having the best debut of anyone in the group and was the best runner exiting the common race on Dec 8th.
12 Fredericksburg I suppose should get a look for Weaver but this one must not be much as connections are looking to re-home this one immediately.
B EVERYONE ELSE
Race 2 $6250 open claimer… With the scratch of Defended I will move both B’s to the A Line.
A LINE
5 Madness will race on the dirt for the first time after being claimed last out by Saffie. Saffie is 4 for 10 going first off the claim when he claimed the horse for himself. I assume Saffie wanted the weight off is why Husbands is riding and not Edgar ? OR maybe this one simply cannot run? Either way having Husband’s on does not hurt her chances since it’s like trying pass Earnhardt on the final lap at Daytona…..
7 Kikilove has races that bury this field but she was awful last time. If I was going to include just 1 more on the A Line she is the one.
Race 3 getting moved to the tapeta opens it up a bit more.
Suggest put Musta’ed in your stable alerts not sure what this runner will do on the tapeta but in a perfect world does not win today and get a better price next time on the grass.
A LINE
1 Mythic Performance moves to the A Line with this one on the tapeta. His race from a year ago when running second to Trikari is by far the best tapeta race in the group.
4 Musta’ed(Was Lone A on grass) this one caught my attention a couple weeks ago when watching recent works for Palm Tree who is stakes placed. The Nov 13th and 20th works went easy not ever asked. I do not think this colt is like the stakes caliber horse Walsh unleashed a for weeks ago Anybody But You , but does look nice.
B LINE is basically everyone else.
Race 4
A LINE I am using all 3 A’s equally.
1 Singing Sandra has the races that if she were drawn outside would be another possible single as she needs the lead or an outside pressing trip, but drew the rail.
2 Musical Journey is the thorn in Singing Sandra side here so if one of them were to scratch would greatly improve the others chances.
5 Citrus Belle is 2 for 2 routing on the tapeta since moving to Delgado’s care. Oct 13th she beat a bad group and then tripped out last time but finished well in both wins.
B LINE
8 Once an Eagle is the unknown in here for Trombetta trying the tapeta for the first time, I likely will include this one since I see no way around using the 3 A’s above.
Race 5 I will not spend to much time here with details but I need several.
A LINE
4 Untroubled will get on the tapeta for the first time at Gulfstream Park and since the addition of Lasix has only been on the Dirt. Possibly could be loose here.
7 Frisson I think has a big shot here after chasing a speedy Banneker last time tiring late. REYLU Will be going !!
8 Paynted Blue in my opinion is the mostly likely winner but could get hung wide. If I had to pick just one!!
B LINE
2 Ours for Sure I think is a step behind some others here going 5 furlongs.
5 Split Strike along with the 2 I think is possible but look to be a step behind my A Line horses.
6 Breezer could improve 2nd off the bench and to compete with others here would need that step forward.
Race 6 is interesting I will have a moderate Win bet on my top pick here.
LONE A 3 Magical Day I liked on debut with a sharp gate work back on Oct.31st I had watched. She broke from the rail and had a respectable debut and others in here I have reasons to question.
LONE B – 2 Ghanaayem has nothing negative to see in her works and would be risky to toss out of multi’s. The head scratching part of this one is Irad worked this filly Dec 14th but is riding a first timer for Sano here that has showed little in the mornings?
6 Decadent is playing verticals I would want underneath, McPeek is not looking to win first out but this one has an outside shot. Dec 5th gate work looked good galloping out from her mate with ease.
