Race 6: #1 Zippy Gizmo 10-1
Most of these look the same on paper so let’s take a shot with a colt that’s a bigger price in #1 Zippy Gizmo (10-1). I thought his debut was decent after a rough go of it at the start costing him several lengths. He was never much of a threat after that, but he did pass a few rivals and galloped like he had more in the tank. There’s a good chance he was just in for a spin since he drifted up from the morning line (nearly 6-1 off 3-1 ML) and his trainer excels with second-time starters (27% winners). The work tab since this debut looks consistent, and it’s encouraging that Wilson bothers to ride back.
Race 7: #5 Mehlek 15-1
Small field, but taking a shot with a big price in #5 Mehlek (15-1). This is a total pace play as he’s going to need a hot pace in front of him to have a shot. I don’t think that’s out of the question though since his five rivals all want to be forward and hopefully they push each other a little quicker than they’d prefer. His last start was a huge improvement when he got on the turf course for just the second time when he just missed at a huge price against older rivals. He hung a little bit in that race so this slight cutback to seven and a half furlongs should be right up his alley. Mehlek has the highest late pace figures by a significant margin (26 points on Timeform US) and is absolutely the one to fear late.
Race 10: #6 Katchy Name 9/2
#6 Katchy Name is getting big class relief for today’s nightcap dropping in from 40k optional claimers NW2 to 15 claimers nonwinners of two lifetime. She hasn’t been running particularly well against tougher, but at least she’s been close to the front in the early portion of the races and I’d expect her to have more stick against easier competition. I love that she’s got a versatile running style, she’s had success on the lead and from well off the pace, and picking up top rider Kimura ensures she’ll get a favorable trip. In this spot, there’s several to her outside that appear to be quicker, so I would assume she’ll try to tuck in right behind those and try to save some ground around the turn. This will be her third start off a layoff so theoretically this should be a peak effort off the bench, and hopefully that 9/2 ML holds up.
